National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, July 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
5 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
6 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
7 LU Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
8 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
9 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
10 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
11 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
12 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
13 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
14 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
15 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
16 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
17 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
18 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
19 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
20 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
22 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 2%
23 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 7%
24 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
25 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
26 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 24% 3%
27 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
28 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
29 LEE Joshua 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
30 JU Shang 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
31 YI Joshua 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 7% -
32 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
33 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
34 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
35 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
36 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
37 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
38 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
39 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
40 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
41 FERNANDEZ William 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
42 TIAN Dylan 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
43 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
44 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
45 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
46 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
47 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
48 BIRKEY Logan 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
48 KHALID Ilyas 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
50 PLATTS Emmerson 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
51 CHEN Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 1%
52 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 7%
53 LIU Yihong 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
54 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
55 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
56 LEE Lucas 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
57 ZHAO Luke 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
58 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
59 REN Mark 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
59 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
61 NGUYEN Norris 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
62 TANG Luke 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
63 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
64 MA kevin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
65 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
66 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
67 WANG Sean 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
68 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
69 CHEN Linus 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
70 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
71 SHI Peyton 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
72 LEE James K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
73 KABEALO Charles 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
74 DESAI Adithya 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
75 WHITE Leonardo 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
76 YOU Emmanuel 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
77 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
78 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
79 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
79 YOON Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
81 SALZER Aage 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
82 ADDYSON Evan 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
83 KANG Ihan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
84 CAMP William 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
85 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
86 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
87 KICIMAN Louis 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% - -
88 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
89 TALBOT Jett 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
89 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
91 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
92 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
92 BERNIER Landyn 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 11% 1%
92 YAO Irvine 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
95 SAFAI Bardia 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
96 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
97 FU Benjamin 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
98 WANG Ryan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
99 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
100 LI Nolan 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
101 KIM Brendan 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
102 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
103 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
104 KIM Benjamin 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
104 JUNG Brandon 100% 88% 50% 13% 2% - -
106 LO Stefan 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
107 PATEL Yash 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
108 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
109 ALI Akash 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
110 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
111 YE Andrew 100% 89% 51% 17% 3% - -
112 ZHOU Silvan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
113 ZHENG Dylan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
114 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
115 YANG Mikey 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
116 TENG Eric 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
116 CHI Zachary 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
118 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
119 PAGLIARINI James 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
120 MIRZA Arrustu 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
121 HUANG EVAN 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
122 XIONG Alec 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
123 MILLER Brodrick 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
124 BUONO Antonino 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
125 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
126 GAN Samuel 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
127 SHENG BEN 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
128 CHEN Boru 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
129 YANG Rony 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
130 YANG Gavin 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
131 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
132 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
133 NOCON Garrison 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
134 KOU Logan 100% 65% 20% 2% - - -
135 LU Jayden 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
136 REED Andrew 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
137 HOHMAN Elias 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
138 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
139 KETCHAM Conrad 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
140 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 100% 71% 27% 6% 1% - -
141 LENEGHAN Declan 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
142 TAN Wyatt 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
142 GRANTER John 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
144 LI Jacob 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
145 HILFIGER Marcos 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
145 AHMAD Aydin 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
147 XI Eric 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% - -
148 MORET Declan 100% 31% 4% - - -
149 CHAN Seanan 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
150 ALLAM Yousuf 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
151 BARNETT Edward 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.