Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, September 2, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
3 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
5 LI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
7 LEE Bill King 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
8 CAO Chong 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
9 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
10 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
11 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 5%
12 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
13 WU Kaiden 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
14 WANG David 100% 100% 95% 67% 22% 2%
15 GUO Jonathan 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
16 JI Derek 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
17 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
18 LIN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
19 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
20 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5%
21 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
22 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
23 PARK Jayden 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 5% -
24 DUFF Michael 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
25 SU Eric 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
26 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
27 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
28 HAN Kyle 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
29 YUE Ivan 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
30 DENG Richard 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
31 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
32 FAN Yuchen 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
33 WU Dawei 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
34 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
35 TAN Daniel 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
36 LIU Chun Shing 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
37 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
38 SLOAN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
39 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
39 IRVINE Cooper 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
41 LIU Paul 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
42 CHAN Troy 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
43 BELHE Hridhaan 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
44 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
45 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
46 QI Zach 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
47 ZHU yinxi 100% 100% 97% 79% 32% 4%
48 WU August 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
49 CHEN Donovan 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% -
49 HULL Brandtley 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
51 DUBIN Jake 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
52 KIM Derek 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
52 SAHA Aadi 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
54 DING Orlando 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
55 YUAN Alan 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
56 ZHANG Connery 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
57 CHEUNG Evan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
58 WANG Darren 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
59 ESTRADA Leo 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
60 LEI Isaac 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
61 GUO ATTICUS 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
62 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
63 LI Sky 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
64 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
65 LOVELL Jackson 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
66 BOURCIER Rowan 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.