Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, September 2, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Cedric - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
2 KANG Jeremy - - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 1% 9% 34% 56%
3 VO Blake - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
5 LI Ryan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
6 HRISTOV Nickolas - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
7 LEE Bill King 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
8 CAO Chong 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
9 KIM Junseong - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
10 QI Jeremy - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
11 FISCHER Noel - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5%
12 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 2%
13 WU Kaiden 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
14 WANG David - 5% 28% 44% 20% 2%
15 GUO Jonathan 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
16 JI Derek 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
17 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
18 LIN Ethan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
19 CHEN Aaron - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
20 WONG Alexander 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
21 FAN Yuen 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
22 LVOVSKIY Roman - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
23 PARK Jayden 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
24 DUFF Michael 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
25 SU Eric - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
26 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
27 LEE Jayden 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 6% 1%
28 HAN Kyle 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
29 YUE Ivan - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
30 DENG Richard - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
31 DESAI Arthav - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 1%
32 FAN Yuchen 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
33 WU Dawei - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
34 TABANCAY Cole - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
35 TAN Daniel 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
36 LIU Chun Shing 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% -
37 WANG Henrik - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
38 SLOAN Ethan - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
39 HSIEH Sebastian 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
39 IRVINE Cooper 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
41 LIU Paul 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
42 CHAN Troy 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
43 BELHE Hridhaan 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
44 ZHANG Hanzhi 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
45 EKAMBARAM Rithik 4% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
46 QI Zach - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
47 ZHU yinxi - 3% 18% 47% 28% 4%
48 WU August 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
49 CHEN Donovan 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% -
49 HULL Brandtley 60% 33% 6% 1% - -
51 DUBIN Jake 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
52 KIM Derek 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
52 SAHA Aadi - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
54 DING Orlando 2% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
55 YUAN Alan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
56 ZHANG Connery 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
57 CHEUNG Evan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
58 WANG Darren 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
59 ESTRADA Leo 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
60 LEI Isaac 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
61 GUO ATTICUS 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
62 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
63 LI Sky 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
64 HSIEH Maxwell 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
65 LOVELL Jackson 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% -
66 BOURCIER Rowan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.