Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
2 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
3 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
5 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
7 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
8 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
9 SIEDOW William 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
10 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
11 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
12 FRANGER Max 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
13 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
14 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
15 HUANG Kenneth 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
16 DEPAUW Devan 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
17 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
18 FU Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
19 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
20 MCDOWELL Will 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% -
21 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 6% -
22 HAUCK Samuel J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
23 WANG David 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
24 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
25 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
26 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
27 PAULSEN Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
28 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
29 BENFORD Kailan 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
30 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
31 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
32 BISSEN Quinn 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
33 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
34 CURTY Jack 100% 99% 86% 48% 12% 1%
35 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
36 PAMERLEAU Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17%
37 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
38 EVERT Todd 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
39 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
40 WAI Andreas 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
41 LASKA Patryk 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 1%
42 ALI Adam 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
43 MOHOV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
44 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
45 GUILFORD Corey 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% -
46 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
47 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
48 LEHNER Brian 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
49 RIECK Brennan 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% -
50 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
51 COHEN Henry 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
52 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
53 VARNEY Douglas W. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
53 PATEL Aayan 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
55 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
56 SCHROEDER Karl A. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
57 HERRERA Xavier 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
58 CASTELLANOS Rene E. 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
59 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
59 SLEZAK Christian 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.