Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Stewart S. - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
2 KARNAS Karol - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
3 SPIER Julian H. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 18%
3 SILVERS Ari - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
5 JOVANOVIC Jovan - - - - 5% 28% 67%
6 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
7 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
8 GINZBURG Adam 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3%
9 SIEDOW William 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
10 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
11 STENCEL Andrew E. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
12 FRANGER Max 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
13 SWANSON Dave 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
14 ZIEGLER John 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
15 HUANG Kenneth 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
16 DEPAUW Devan - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
17 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
18 FU Jason - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
19 BEACH John - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
20 MCDOWELL Will 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
21 SHOUSHA Hamza 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
22 HAUCK Samuel J. - 2% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
23 WANG David 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
24 BARFORD Giovanni 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
25 THOMAS Samuel - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
26 ELTERMAN Lev 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
27 PAULSEN Zachary 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
28 SHOUSHA Yassin 3% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
29 BENFORD Kailan 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2%
30 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
31 REED Dusty (Allen) - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
32 BISSEN Quinn 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
33 CONKLIN Jim - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
34 CURTY Jack 1% 13% 38% 36% 11% 1%
35 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
36 PAMERLEAU Ian - 1% 7% 30% 45% 17%
37 PETROVICH Alexandar 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
38 EVERT Todd 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
39 RODACHY Jeffrey M. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
40 WAI Andreas 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
41 LASKA Patryk 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
42 ALI Adam 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
43 MOHOV Aleksey - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
44 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
45 GUILFORD Corey 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
46 ST. GEORGE David J. 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
47 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
48 LEHNER Brian 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
49 RIECK Brennan 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
50 CHRISTIAN John R. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
51 COHEN Henry 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
52 WILLIAMS Logan 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
53 VARNEY Douglas W. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
53 PATEL Aayan 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
55 TAKATA Benjamin - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
56 SCHROEDER Karl A. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
57 HERRERA Xavier 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
58 CASTELLANOS Rene E. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
59 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
59 SLEZAK Christian 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.