Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 2:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
2 WANG justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
3 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
5 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
6 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
7 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
8 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
9 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
10 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
11 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
13 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
14 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
15 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 3%
16 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
17 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
18 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
19 XI Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
20 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
21 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
22 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
23 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
24 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
25 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
26 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
27 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
28 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
29 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
30 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
31 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
32 SONG Changze 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
33 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
34 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
36 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
37 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
38 TESFAYE Elias 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
39 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
39 MEN Junda 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
41 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
42 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
43 DOWD Peter L. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
44 FENG Du 100% 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
45 RVACHEV Michael 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
46 WANG Tony 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
47 SINGLETON Aman 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
48 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
49 WHITE Aidan 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
50 YIN Chujun 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
51 PAN Anthony 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
52 GAO Victor 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
53 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
54 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
55 GU Eric 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
56 SETO Jing 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
57 ZHANG Javen 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
58 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
59 GLUSHKOV David 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
60 RIM Eugene 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
61 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 80% 31% 6% - - -
62 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1% -
63 LI Jade 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
64 YU Samuel 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
65 SHA Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
66 SONG Ryan 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
66 JAMISON Tre 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
68 POCHATKO Christian 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
69 HOWELL Liam 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
70 CHEN Edward 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
71 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
72 KIM Nathan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
73 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
74 DAGLI Sai 100% 99% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
75 KELLEY Hayden 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
76 NUTOVYCH David 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
77 SUN Lucas 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
78 LI Ray 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
79 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
80 OSHIMA Robert 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
81 STEIN Philip 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
82 URBAN Leo 100% 16% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.