Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
2 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
3 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
5 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
6 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
7 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
8 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
9 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
10 ZHAO Pierce 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
11 LI Jade 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
12 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
13 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
14 ACAR Devin 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
15 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
16 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
17 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
18 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
19 YANG Alex 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
20 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
21 KIM Gene 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 17%
22 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
23 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
24 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
25 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
26 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 3%
27 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
28 NOOL Alexander 100% 91% 55% 15% 2% -
29 SONG Changze 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
30 WANG Charles 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
31 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
32 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
33 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
34 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
35 HENNESSY Levon 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
36 TESFAYE Elias 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 21% 3%
37 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
38 CHEN Edward 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
39 LIN Michael 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
40 STAUDINGER Enzo 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
41 LEE Anton 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
42 GLUSHKOV David 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
43 TSIEN Richard 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
44 KIM Zac 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
45 LIN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
45 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
47 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
48 EVANS Joseph 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
49 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
50 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
51 LEE Wyatt 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
52 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
53 FRANCISCO Osvaldo 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
54 CHANG Ian 100% 80% 33% 6% - -
55 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% -
56 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
57 ZHAI Junqi 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
58 LEE Kalvin 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
59 LI Ryan 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
60 GUNNA Vishwaksai 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
61 WENG ZOE 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
62 NILSEN Mark 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
63 YU David 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
64 CHEN Luowen 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
65 MORSS Dashiell 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
66 NUSCHKE Luka 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
67 AU Joshua 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
68 CUELLAR Markus 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
69 LEE Henry 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
70 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
71 LIN Junyi 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
72 LAW Oliver 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
73 NUSCHKE Conrad 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
74 GU Eric 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
74 ALABI Azryl 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
76 VARHAUL Michael 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
77 ZHANG Ethan 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
78 URBAN Leo 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.