Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell - - - 4% 22% 43% 30%
2 LIU Adam - 1% 13% 36% 38% 12%
3 ATKINS Levi H. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 DUKO Phillip - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
5 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
6 ANAFI Ari - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 19%
7 PAN Anthony 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
8 ORESKOVIC Olivier - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
9 BOUDREAUX James - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
10 ZHAO Pierce - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
11 LI Jade 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
12 RATUSHNYI Georgii - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
13 SOKOL Luke - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
14 ACAR Devin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
15 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
16 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
17 KIM Henry - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
18 XIA Dashan - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
19 YANG Alex - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
20 SUN Lucas 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
21 KIM Gene - 1% 8% 32% 43% 17%
22 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 1% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
23 MORI Seneca - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
24 CUMMINGS Owen 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
25 LEE Aiden - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
26 RIM Eugene - 9% 30% 38% 20% 3%
27 KARIMOV Amir - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
28 NOOL Alexander 9% 35% 40% 13% 2% -
29 SONG Changze - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
30 WANG Charles 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
31 TRAN Spencer - 2% 14% 38% 35% 10%
32 CHEN Jayden - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
33 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
34 LEVESQUE Gabriel 1% 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
35 HENNESSY Levon 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2%
36 TESFAYE Elias - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
37 LIU Jeremiah W. - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
38 CHEN Edward 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
39 LIN Michael - 6% 27% 39% 22% 4%
40 STAUDINGER Enzo 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
41 LEE Anton 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
42 GLUSHKOV David 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
43 TSIEN Richard 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
44 KIM Zac 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
45 LIN Nathan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 5%
45 RVACHEV Michael 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
47 KAPLAN Maddox 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% - -
48 EVANS Joseph - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
49 LYCHKO Maksym 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
50 SOLARZ Arthur 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
51 LEE Wyatt 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
52 AGUIRRE Pablo 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
53 FRANCISCO Osvaldo - 5% 26% 41% 24% 4%
54 CHANG Ian 20% 47% 27% 6% - -
55 MILINKOVIC Maksim 6% 36% 39% 16% 3% -
56 HELMY Richard - 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
57 ZHAI Junqi 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
58 LEE Kalvin 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
59 LI Ryan 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
60 GUNNA Vishwaksai 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
61 WENG ZOE 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
62 NILSEN Mark 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
63 YU David 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
64 CHEN Luowen - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
65 MORSS Dashiell 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
66 NUSCHKE Luka 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
67 AU Joshua 61% 32% 6% - - -
68 CUELLAR Markus 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
69 LEE Henry 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
70 SCHAUER Oliver 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
71 LIN Junyi 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
72 LAW Oliver 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
73 NUSCHKE Conrad 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
74 GU Eric 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
74 ALABI Azryl 4% 25% 42% 24% 4% -
76 VARHAUL Michael 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
77 ZHANG Ethan 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
78 URBAN Leo 85% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.