AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HABEK Sophia - - - - 1% 11% 89%
2 NGUYEN Renee - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 DYMAR Anna - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
3 XU Yvette, Zixuan - - - - - 8% 91%
5 HE Anna - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
6 FU Shannon - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
7 BURKS Madison - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
8 CHO Jacey 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10% -
9 YAN Ximei (Alicia) - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
10 ARULKUMAR Lashia - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
11 WANG Chantal - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
12 LI Wan-Tao - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
13 WANG Nicole - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
14 LI Anna - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
15 WANG Ailly - 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
16 YU Chloe - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
17 DU Chloe - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
18 FENG Esther - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
19 SUN Milly - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
20 XU Aasta 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
21 MAENG Gloria - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
22 FLYNN Kensington 2% 16% 39% 34% 9% 1%
23 CAYETANO Audrey - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
24 LI Carlie - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
25 LI Allison - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
26 VIJAY Vaishnavi - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
27 ARNOLD Evangeline - 4% 23% 45% 25% 4%
28 KOU Cynthia - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
29 XIONG Alice - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
30 MUKKU Emily - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
31 LI Ariel 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
32 CHEN Stephanie - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16% -
33 CHEN Julia Z. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
34 KIM Vivian - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
35 YOUSSEF Margaret - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
36 YIP Allison 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
37 ZHAO Ellie - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
38 WANG Olivia - 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
39 CHANG Allison 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
40 LI Mia 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
41 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
42 LEE Rebecca 1% 12% 41% 34% 11% 1%
43 LI Katherine - - 6% 26% 49% 19%
44 AGARWAL Keya 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
45 WANG Yvonne 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
46 DAI Sophie 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
47 TRUONG Chloe 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
48 GU Ella 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
49 KWAK Olivia 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
50 REN Ivanka 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% -
51 HUANG Jui-An 7% 40% 39% 12% 1% -
52 ERISMAN Gabriella - 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
53 SINGLETARY Iona - 2% 16% 40% 33% 8%
54 SUN Joanna 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
55 MIAO Anthea - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
56 PARK Rena - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
57 VOO Evelyn 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
58 DEKERMANJI kate 8% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
59 YOON Claire 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
60 LIU Emma 4% 27% 45% 21% 3% -
61 NIMIJAN emerie 1% 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
62 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
63 REN Harper 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
64 DU Chelsea - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
65 WANG Phoebe 16% 38% 31% 13% 3% - -
66 PARKE Jaime 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
67 REDDY Annika 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
68 HE Elsa 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
69 KIM Toni 21% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
70 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 60% 34% 5% - - -
71 DEFENSOR Ella 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
72 JOE Everly 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
73 YANG Emma 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
74 CHONG Emma 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
75 WU Angela 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
75 ZHU Anna 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
77 KICHILI Keerthana 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
78 LI Celine 17% 53% 25% 4% - -
78 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
80 KEDAN Carmella 63% 31% 5% - - -
81 YANG Arianna 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
82 TRUONG Camilla 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
83 YU Elise 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
84 LI zoey 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
85 YAO Astrid 40% 45% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.