AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM DOHA 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
2 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
3 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
5 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
6 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
7 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 8%
9 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
10 YOUNG Quentin 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
11 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
12 WANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
13 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
14 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
15 HSU Joshua 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
16 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
17 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
18 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
19 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
20 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
21 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
22 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
23 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
24 ANDERSON Kai 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
25 LEE Damien 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
26 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
27 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
28 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
29 HWANG JEWOO 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
30 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
31 WONG Baron 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
32 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
33 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
34 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
35 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
36 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
37 WONG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
38 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
39 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
40 WANG Kunqi 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
41 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 29% 4%
42 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
43 WONG Preston 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
44 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
45 PRAKASH Hari 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
46 URCIOLI Phenix 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
47 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
48 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
49 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
50 TANG Mingyuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
51 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
52 WANG aaron 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
53 LEE Royce 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
54 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
55 WU Steven 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
56 JAO Aaron 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
57 KLINKNER Richard 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
58 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
59 KIM Remington 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
60 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
61 KUO Rylan 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
62 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
63 GADHVI Darius 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
64 DENG Destin 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
65 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
66 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
67 YUEN Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
68 SIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
69 LOUIE Joseph 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
70 SHEN Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 12% 1%
71 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
72 CHENG Trevor 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
73 WU Eric 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
74 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
75 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
76 GOROZA Eric 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
77 MITCHEM Paolo 100% 90% 52% 14% 2% - -
78 MILEY Walker 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
79 WANG Devin 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
80 MA Ciel 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
81 MAXU Tiger 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
82 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
83 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
84 JU Hanul 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 3%
85 SU Samuel 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
86 COLLINS Kaden 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
87 ZHANG Albert 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
88 HUANG Ethan 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
89 BERTEL Florian 100% 96% 70% 27% 5% - -
90 WANG Jiacheng 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
91 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% - -
92 LIN Andrew 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
93 LEE Daniel 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
94 QIAO James 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
95 ZHANG Luqi 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
96 PAINTER Noah 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
97 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
98 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
99 ZHANG Austin 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
100 KOU Mason 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
101 GRAHAM Jacob 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
102 WONG Vansen 100% 95% 47% 12% 1% - -
102 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
102 CHEW Aedan 100% 95% 70% 32% 9% 1% -
105 YAU Michael 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
106 MARTIN zachary 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
107 GUO Woody 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
108 MCLAREN Mason 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
109 ECKMAN Bjorn 100% 15% 1% - - - -
109 LI Sean 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
111 BAKKEN Archer 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
112 MILLER Xavier 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
113 FU Adrian 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.