March NAC

Div III Men's Épée

Friday, March 1, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
2 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
3 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
3 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
5 PAINE Jared A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
6 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
7 LO Hung Yui 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
8 XIAO Zherui 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
9 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 5%
10 ZHU Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
11 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
12 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
13 PARNAS Apollo 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
14 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
15 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
16 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
17 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
18 POCSVEILER Magor 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
20 COOPER Rowan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
21 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 100% 96% 68% 26% 4%
22 DIB Aaniss 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 8%
23 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
24 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
25 CHUNG Thomas 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
26 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
27 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
28 GREGORY Dean 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
29 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
30 HAN David 100% 99% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
31 PARNAS Ely 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
32 ZHANG Yu 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
33 WONG Daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%
34 KIM Edward J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
35 PHAM Ian Q. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
36 OBERLEITON Timothy 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
37 KROPP Jack 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
38 LI Sui Lun 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
39 JACKSON James 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
40 LIU Yichen 100% 28% 3% - - -
41 SIMMONS Tristan A. 100% 98% 76% 34% 8% 1%
42 GERSEN Jacob 100% 30% 4% - - -
43 THOMPSON Chester 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
44 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
45 MARTIN Dirk 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
46 WISE Timothy 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
47 ZHANG Zan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
48 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
49 HONG James 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
50 CHRISTIAN Alexander 100% 92% 26% 3% - -
51 REITINGER Luke M. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
52 CHEN Zhong Han 100% 23% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.