GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, November 24, 2024 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 XIAO Yichen 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
3 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
5 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
6 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
7 FANG Hanning 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
8 HU Anton 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
9 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
10 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
12 DITTEL Aaron K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
13 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
14 DEPAUW Devan 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
15 CAMP Ethan 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
16 ZHANG Michael 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
17 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
18 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
19 BROOKS Zach B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
20 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
21 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
22 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
23 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
24 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
25 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
26 UNG Kei 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
27 CHEN Bowen 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
28 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
29 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
30 HAUCK Samuel J. 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
31 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
32 LIU Quincy 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
33 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
34 BOSS Evan 100% 94% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
35 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
36 SALLAM omar 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
37 ZHANG James 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
38 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 1%
39 TOWNSEND George 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
40 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
41 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
42 ALI Adam 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
43 HERDMAN Julian 100% 77% 26% 4% - -
44 EVERT Todd 100% 98% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
45 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
46 WANG Kaiyan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
47 TU Jimmy 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
48 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 95% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
49 VELDTMAN Gruschen 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
50 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
51 SAYLOR Nathaniel 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
52 APANASEWICZ Dan 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
53 FANG Yunhan 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
54 TIMEK Jan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
55 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
56 BENSCH Vincent 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
57 GREEN Brian 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
58 JANYSKA Allen 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
59 LARSON Vaughn 100% 51% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.