Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 16%
2 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
5 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
7 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
8 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
9 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
10 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
11 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
12 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
13 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15% 1%
14 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 2%
15 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
16 SMITH Theo 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
17 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
18 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
19 VASILEV Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
20 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
21 TANG Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
22 DAND Zahin 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
23 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
24 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
25 SHI Evan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
26 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
27 DING Charlie 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
28 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
29 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
30 CHEN Jayden A 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
31 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
32 LI Jayden 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
33 LANE Sawyer 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
34 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
35 LI Nolan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
36 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
37 YU George 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% -
38 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
39 ZHENG Jasper 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1% -
40 WANG William 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
41 DANA Miles 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
42 RUDIGER George 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
43 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
44 HWANG Christopher 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
45 CHEN Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
46 ZHAO Brandon 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
47 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
48 QI Bryan 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
49 SHI Peyton 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
50 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
51 YAN Milan 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
52 CHEN Regis 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
53 SPEZAKIS Achilles 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
54 LANDMAN Martin 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
55 KIM Louie 100% 97% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
56 ZHANG Jacob 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
57 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
58 KIM Brendan 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
59 GOOD Adam 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
60 WANG Henry 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
61 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
62 KESELMAN Ron 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
63 SHKOP Alexander 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -
64 FISHER Derek 100% 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
65 LAI Jaxon 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
66 QUAN William 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 KLOTS Theo 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 48%
68 CHEDRAWI Nicholas 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
69 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 96% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
70 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
71 WHITE Leonardo 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
72 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
73 FLANAGAN Ronan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
74 TANG Jake 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
74 GORE Noah 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.