Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 14, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	XIAN kevin	-	-	-	-	1%	16%	83%
2	WU Wallace	-	-	-	-	1%	13%	87%
3	KIAYIAS Anthony	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	26%
3	SHOU Raymond	-	-	-	1%	12%	44%	43%
5	HUANG Dalynn	-	1%	5%	18%	34%	31%	11%
6	SONG Enoch	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
7	ZHANG Eric	-	2%	12%	33%	37%	15%	1%
8	LIN Ziyue	-	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	17%
9	QIAN Will	-	-	-	4%	23%	48%	24%
10	HUYNH Kaleb	-	2%	12%	32%	39%	16%
11	ZHAO David	1%	12%	36%	37%	13%	1%
12	YANG Luca	-	1%	5%	19%	35%	30%	9%
13	JIANG Ethan	6%	27%	39%	22%	6%	1%	-
14	YOON Mason	1%	7%	25%	37%	24%	6%
15	SAVIR Ethan	-	-	2%	15%	39%	39%	4%
16	MOON Nolan	-	3%	17%	37%	32%	10%	-
17	FANG Lionel	-	4%	21%	39%	29%	7%	-
18	CAO Aaron	-	1%	9%	29%	41%	20%
19	XIA Wenhao	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	9%	1%
20	WU Yulen	4%	28%	40%	22%	5%	-
21	YU Adam	-	4%	16%	32%	31%	14%	2%
22	HE Ryan	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	16%	3%
23	WU Connor	1%	7%	26%	39%	23%	4%	-
24	CHONG Cooper	3%	19%	35%	29%	12%	2%	-
25	WANG Leon	-	1%	8%	28%	40%	21%	1%
26	GENG Vincent	-	5%	23%	39%	27%	6%	-
26	CHEN Keegan	2%	14%	31%	32%	16%	4%	-
28	TARDIFF Owen	-	5%	24%	39%	25%	6%
29	YANG Crescent	2%	14%	36%	34%	13%	1%	-
30	CHIN Gregory	1%	10%	28%	34%	20%	5%	1%
31	LU Ethan	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
32	SHUM Wesley	8%	37%	38%	15%	2%	-
33	LEE Ryan	6%	27%	38%	23%	6%	1%	-
34	LEONG Michael	2%	19%	38%	30%	10%	1%
35	HARRIGAN Tommy	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	16%
36	FAN Oscar	10%	34%	37%	16%	3%	-	-
37	MOSAMEH Faraj	11%	39%	35%	13%	2%	-	-
38	LEVKOVICH Milan	6%	26%	39%	23%	6%	-	-
39	ZUO Rex	-	7%	26%	35%	23%	7%	1%
40	SUN Neil	14%	38%	34%	13%	2%	-	-
41	HARDING James	44%	40%	14%	2%	-	-
42	SOBO Samuel	16%	37%	31%	13%	3%	-	-
43	FOX Cameron	61%	33%	6%	1%	-	-
44	DENHAM Declan	26%	44%	25%	5%	1%	-	-
45	LEE Joseph	46%	40%	12%	2%	-	-	-
46	MOORE Cooper	38%	41%	17%	4%	-	-	-
46	DVORNEK Everett	33%	43%	20%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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