San Diego Senior Cup #4

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM

San Diego Jewish Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 LEE Royce 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
3 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 99% 88% 39% 6%
5 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 71% 16%
6 DILLON Anik 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
7 THOMAS Michael 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 14% 1%
8 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
10 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5% < 1%
11 NORTON Henry 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
12 POSSON Luke 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
13 HERBRANDSON Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22% 1%
14 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
15 DAVIDOVICH Eli 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 7% -
16 ALLEN David 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
17 ROMANO Ren 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
18 HARRIS Roark S. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 20% 2%
19 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
20 CHOI Jung Jin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 2%
21 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
22 LIANG Dong 100% 88% 48% 9% 1% -
23 SKILLENS Davin 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
24 TILLMAN Chase 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
25 WALSH Landon 100% 98% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
26 SAMIMI Sina 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
27 SETTE Alessandro 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 3%
28 SOLONOVICH Maksim 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
29 NUGENT Curtis 100% 72% 21% 2% - - -
30 DE LAUNEY Merric 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
31 HUANG Tony 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
32 HORN Evans 100% 98% 61% 16% 2% - -
33 KAGAN Gideon 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
34 GAYLORD Ronan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
35 KENO Daniel 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
36 PICKETT Alexander 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
37 SMITH Mason 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
38 ROLAND Nikolas 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
39 SANTOS Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
40 TERRA BARRETT Isaiah 100% 76% 29% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.