December NAC

Veteran Women's Saber

Friday, December 6, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DEMING Clare L.	-	-	2%	12%	34%	39%	13%
2	FOLEY Eileen	-	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	31%
3	ENOCHS Liz	-	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	12%
3	ALTMAN Leigh	-	4%	21%	42%	27%	6%
5	JOHNSON Laura S.	-	-	-	2%	14%	42%	42%
6	BERMAN Frauke	-	-	3%	14%	34%	37%	12%
7	WILSON Dawn J.	-	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%
8	VANCE Beth S.	-	1%	9%	28%	39%	19%	3%
9	ZHANG Lynn Y.	1%	6%	24%	36%	25%	7%	1%
10	SMITH Chaz V.	-	-	1%	9%	34%	41%	16%
11	SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara	-	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	28%
12	RANDALL Cathleen Coyle	-	3%	18%	35%	31%	12%	2%
13	SIERRA Kate	-	2%	12%	33%	39%	14%
14	KIM Nam Heui	10%	33%	37%	17%	3%	-
15	GRAJALES Emily K.	-	5%	24%	40%	25%	6%	1%
16	LAPP Laurie E.	5%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%
17	OBLONSKY Natalia	-	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	4%
18	DUNN Linda J. J.	-	-	5%	22%	43%	30%
18	FREYRE Rebecca R.	10%	39%	38%	11%	1%	-
20	KING Robin E.	-	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
21	MARENTES Blanca E.	4%	19%	35%	29%	11%	2%	-
22	YANG Jenny J.	-	4%	18%	35%	30%	11%	1%
23	WILLEMSE Jamie	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-	-
24	GORDON Sharon	2%	19%	41%	29%	8%	1%	-
25	LORANG Kim L.	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	6%	1%
26	GLUCK Myriam	-	-	5%	25%	45%	25%
27	GOMES Gisela	29%	44%	22%	5%	-	-
28	HANAMOTO Claire M.	-	11%	33%	35%	17%	4%	-
29	STARR Cynthia (Cindy) H.	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
30	LUM Karen	6%	25%	37%	24%	6%	1%	-
31	HAYWARD Tammy	85%	14%	1%	-	-	-	-
32	DEGEN Anita L.	30%	44%	21%	5%	-	-	-
33	DENNER Jasmina	-	-	4%	22%	46%	28%
34	WU Yik Chun	2%	13%	33%	35%	15%	2%
35	JEAN Emmanuelle C.	14%	40%	35%	10%	1%	-
36	WALTER Joanne	16%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
37	MAUL Judy L.	3%	33%	41%	19%	4%	-	-
38	DUDLEY Gayle	49%	40%	10%	1%	-	-	-
39	WEBB Maud	14%	43%	32%	9%	1%	-	-
40	DAHL Naomi V.	18%	41%	30%	10%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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