Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 3% 14% 36% 37% 10%
3 ZHAI Derrick - - 4% 22% 46% 29%
3 HOU Gaven - - - 4% 17% 41% 37%
5 PAN Ethan - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
6 TANG Royce - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
7 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
8 LIU Aaron - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
9 GE Felix Fei - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
10 GRIGORIEV Michael - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
11 LIM EUNSEONG - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
12 WANG Caleb - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
13 WU Wallace - - - - 5% 31% 64%
14 CAO Joshua - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
15 LIU Alex - - 1% 6% 29% 46% 18%
16 REN Ryan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
17 YANG Steve - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
18 KIM Daniel - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
19 FAN Ze Lin - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
20 XIAN kevin - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
21 CHANG Parker - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
22 LU Hansen - 2% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
23 LIN Wilson - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
24 SHOU Raymond - - 2% 12% 36% 40% 10%
25 NOVIKOV Yann - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
26 HU Michael 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
27 YANG Luca - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
28 CZARNECKI Thomas - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
29 DANTON Ryan 1% 10% 39% 36% 12% 1%
30 QIAN Will - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
31 HUANG Jinyao - - 3% 19% 47% 29% 2%
32 XIE Jayden - 3% 23% 43% 26% 5%
33 GUGALA Frank 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
34 SIU Max - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
35 ULYSSE Jacob - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
36 ZHAI Alex - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
37 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
38 LU Brandon - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
39 JIN Xueyuan George - 1% 6% 28% 47% 18%
40 MAZAHERI Theodore 1% 9% 32% 41% 16% 2%
41 SLAIN Owen - 1% 10% 32% 43% 14%
42 CHOI Hunter - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
43 HE Ian - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
44 ZHANG Ethan 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
45 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) - - 1% 12% 41% 41% 5%
46 LIU Yilin 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
47 ZHAO David 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
48 XIANG Wangzhi 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
49 SONG Enoch - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
50 HUYNH Matthew - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
51 MADDES Gage 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
52 QU Zhida (richard) - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
53 KUBBA Krish 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
54 WANG Mendy - - 3% 13% 33% 38% 13%
55 HUANG Dalynn - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
56 TAN Charlie - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
57 KIAYIAS Anthony 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
58 MAZAHERI John 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
59 JORGE Elijah - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
60 AMR HOSSNY Adam 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
61 HUA Isaac 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
62 PARK Joshua 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
63 WILSON Jacob 3% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
64 YU Oliver - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
65 HUYNH Kaleb 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
66 JIN Xuechong Daniel - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
67 ZHENG Lerui - - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
68 KIAYIAS Alexander 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 10% 1%
69 CHONG Cooper 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
70 PACK Lindsey 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
71 SINGH Jai Anand 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
71 JIAO Daniel 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
73 SHEN Lucas 2% 15% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
74 WANG William 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
75 WANG Freyr 1% 9% 33% 41% 15% 2% -
76 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 2% 13% 36% 36% 12% 2% -
77 MACK Julian 28% 47% 21% 4% - - -
78 LIN Ziyue - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
79 CHAU Ivan 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
80 CHAO ABU MINGZE 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
81 CHUNG Royce 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
81 XIE Raymond - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
83 LI Yunze 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
84 CHEN Ethan 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
85 GENG Vincent 4% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
86 MOON Nolan 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
87 WU Gengze (Daniel) - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
88 LIN Oliver Ju-En 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
89 PAN Howard Haoran - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
90 WILLIAMS Thomas 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
91 DUROCHER Greyson 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
92 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 5% 31% 42% 19% 3% - -
93 QIAN Henry - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
93 FANG Lionel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
93 BELL Asher 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
96 XUAN nathan 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
97 BOSNJAK Parker 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
98 WANG Jaaziel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
99 CAINE Liam 6% 33% 42% 17% 2% - -
100 KUTATELADZE Danieli 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
101 LIU Mason 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
101 HOO Bezalel 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
103 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
104 LI Andrew 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
105 GRIFFIN Andrew 4% 31% 42% 19% 3% -
106 DALAL Amitav 13% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
107 SUN Andrew 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
108 WU Alexander - 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
109 HUANG Anthony 5% 25% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
110 XU Kaden 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
111 MORALES Tycho 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
112 XU ETHAN 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
112 HUDSON Jedidiah 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
114 ROBERTSON Liam 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
115 CHANG Joshua 22% 45% 26% 6% - - -
116 YU Ethan 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
116 BYERS Kaih - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
118 SAFAI Bardia 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
118 BUCHNER Roland 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
120 BROWN Rhys 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
121 HOFFMAN Zane 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
122 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual < 1% 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 2%
123 TINGLE Byrd 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
123 CHU Joe 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
125 DAVE Neil 36% 43% 17% 3% - -
126 HAN Jayden 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
126 LIU Ruofeng 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
128 SIN TaeHwan 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
129 GREENWALD Silas 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
130 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 62% 32% 6% - - -
131 DEGRYSE Leopold 27% 51% 19% 3% - -
132 CHEN Kevin 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
133 WU Brian 11% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
134 GOLDSTEIN Tate 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
134 ZHANG Vincent 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
136 BARNETT Jacob 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1% -
137 XU Jonathan 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.