Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
3 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
3 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
5 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
6 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
7 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
8 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
10 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
11 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 1%
12 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
13 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
14 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
15 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
16 REN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
17 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
18 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 5%
19 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
20 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
21 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
22 LU Hansen 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
23 LIN Wilson 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
24 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 13% -
25 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
26 HU Michael 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
27 YANG Luca 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
28 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
29 DANTON Ryan 100% 99% 89% 50% 13% 1%
30 QIAN Will 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
31 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31% 2%
32 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 5%
33 GUGALA Frank 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
34 SIU Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
35 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
36 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
37 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
38 LU Brandon 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
39 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
40 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2%
41 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
42 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
43 HE Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
44 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
45 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 5%
46 LIU Yilin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
47 ZHAO David 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
48 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
49 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
50 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
51 MADDES Gage 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
52 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
53 KUBBA Krish 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% 1%
54 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
55 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
56 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
57 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
58 MAZAHERI John 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
59 JORGE Elijah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
60 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
61 HUA Isaac 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
62 PARK Joshua 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
63 WILSON Jacob 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
64 YU Oliver 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
65 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
66 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
67 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
68 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
69 CHONG Cooper 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
70 PACK Lindsey 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
71 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
71 JIAO Daniel 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
73 SHEN Lucas 100% 98% 79% 31% 4% - -
74 WANG William 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
75 WANG Freyr 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% 2% -
76 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 2% -
77 MACK Julian 100% 73% 21% 2% - - -
78 LIN Ziyue 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3% -
79 CHAU Ivan 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
80 CHAO ABU MINGZE 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
81 CHUNG Royce 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
81 XIE Raymond 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
83 LI Yunze 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
84 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2%
85 GENG Vincent 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% -
86 MOON Nolan 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
87 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
88 LIN Oliver Ju-En 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
89 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
90 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
91 DUROCHER Greyson 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
92 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% - -
93 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
93 FANG Lionel 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
93 BELL Asher 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
96 XUAN nathan 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
97 BOSNJAK Parker 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
98 WANG Jaaziel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
99 CAINE Liam 100% 94% 61% 19% 2% - -
100 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
101 LIU Mason 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
101 HOO Bezalel 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
103 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
104 LI Andrew 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
105 GRIFFIN Andrew 100% 96% 65% 22% 3% -
106 DALAL Amitav 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
107 SUN Andrew 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
108 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
109 HUANG Anthony 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
110 XU Kaden 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
111 MORALES Tycho 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
112 XU ETHAN 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
112 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
114 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
115 CHANG Joshua 100% 78% 33% 6% - - -
116 YU Ethan 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
116 BYERS Kaih 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
118 SAFAI Bardia 100% 60% 15% 1% - - -
118 BUCHNER Roland 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
120 BROWN Rhys 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
121 HOFFMAN Zane 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
122 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
123 TINGLE Byrd 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
123 CHU Joe 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
125 DAVE Neil 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
126 HAN Jayden 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
126 LIU Ruofeng 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
128 SIN TaeHwan 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
129 GREENWALD Silas 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
130 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 100% 38% 6% - - -
131 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 73% 22% 3% - -
132 CHEN Kevin 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
133 WU Brian 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
134 GOLDSTEIN Tate 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
134 ZHANG Vincent 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
136 BARNETT Jacob 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
137 XU Jonathan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.