Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
2 ZHANG Yuchen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
3 KASHUBA Mila 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% < 1%
5 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
6 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
7 ZHAO Rachel 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
8 LEE Nicole 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
9 SIU Mila 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
10 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
11 LI Juliana 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
12 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
13 CHEN Reina 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
14 LIU Emma 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
15 ZHAO Crystal 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
16 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
17 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
18 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
19 YANG Arianna 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
20 PATEL Aria 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
21 LEE Iona 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
22 MAO Faith 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
23 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
24 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
25 QIN Olivia 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
26 PATEL Agena 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
27 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
28 FAN Olivia 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
29 YOON Michelle 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
30 GLOEDE Juliana 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
31 TANG Sophie 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
32 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
33 REN Harper 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
34 XIANG Kellina 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
35 WANG Katherine 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
36 CHOI Noah 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
37 WANG Jenny 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
38 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
39 SHAHID Huda 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
40 GLOVER Helen 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
41 LAU Carys Bella 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
42 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
43 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
44 KUO Stella 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
45 URICHECK Julianna 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
46 LEE Lauren 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
47 STAFFORD Thylane Sage 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
48 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
49 LIOU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
49 MU Jasmine 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
51 LI Yishi 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
52 VILLER Gabriella 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
53 MALONE Alexis 100% 92% 65% 32% 9% 2% -
54 LOYCH Charity 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 14%
55 CHO Angelina 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
56 LEE Zerah 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
57 HUANG Kathryn 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
58 WILKERSON Katherine 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
59 KAUR Harman 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
60 YADAGIRI Aditi 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
61 KIM Chaeryeong 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
62 SALIBA Madison 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
63 YOU Nina 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
64 YAO Astrid 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
65 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
66 CAMELLINI Emily 100% 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
66 KIM Seryeong 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
68 DONSON Christine 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
69 LEE JiWon 100% 99% 92% 66% 32% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.