NEUSFA 2019 Pomme De Terre Individual

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 15, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University, Gosman Sports Center - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONDOR Robert D. - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
2 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 VERMEULE Spencer - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 KIM Juni C. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
5 MACZIK Adam W. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
6 JONES Tristan Kai - - - - 2% 21% 77%
7 PHO Eric 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
8 LUKANYUK Lorence 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
9 YU Colin - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
10 STUSNICK Hunter - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
11 ROGAK Benjamin A. - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
12 HAMPTON Maxwell (Max) - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
13 PAOLINI Nathan R. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
14 GREGORY Abram - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
15 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - - 3% 22% 41% 27% 5%
16 ROUSE Brian G. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
17 SANTOS Cameron A. - - 2% 15% 38% 36% 10%
18 JONES Simon A. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
20 ADAMIAN Nathaniel S. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
21 LEIGH David A. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
22 DOLMETSCH Max 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
23 MAZZOLI Julio C. - 1% 15% 39% 36% 9%
24 HOLTZ Donovan K. - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
25 MECHKOV Iliya - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
26 GONZALEZ TABORDA William Eulogio - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
27 ZAFFT Maximo - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
28 BIXBY Solomon J. - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 8%
29 CORBAN Michael Y. - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
30 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20% 1%
31 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
32 KRONROD Tal 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
33 MORSE Tyler - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
34 PEDERSEN Christopher C. - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7% < 1%
35 MAISEL Simon F. - 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5%
36 ARMSTRONG Chris - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
37 BOWERMAN Lucas A. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
38 HITCHCOCK David - - - 6% 28% 48% 18%
39 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
40 TROAKE Henry R. 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
41 CHARRON Jack H. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
43 BOYNTON Zachariah (Zach) G. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
44 GARCIA-ALBEA Javier - - 2% 13% 38% 37% 10%
45 JOHNSON Evan 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
46 INSLER Ethan C. 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
47 FERREIRA Noah J. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
48 ANDREEV Arthur - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
49 TORDO Garrett - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
50 MARCHANT Albert 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
51 ABELE Chris 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
52 SUMLER Jeffery - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
53 FELDMAN Jaemin 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
54 WYATT Seth 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
55 YOSHIDA Stephen R. - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1%
56 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
57 MCDERMOTT James E. 4% 32% 43% 18% 3% - -
57 JIN Owen 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
59 BIXBY Peter W. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
60 HARRIS Robert S. - 3% 22% 42% 27% 5% -
61 CULLER Michael (Mike) D. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
62 CARVALHO Daniel 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
63 STANKEVICZ Timothy G. 9% 39% 42% 10% 1% - -
64 BURKE Matthew - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
65 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
66 BUSH Thomas 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
67 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
68 JANOSKI Stephen M. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
69 SHEPARD Zachary 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
70 PATENAUDE Kameron 9% 43% 36% 11% 1% - -
71 HOWELL Thomas A. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
72 TUCKER Owen J. - 3% 22% 46% 24% 4% -
73 WALTING Paul J. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
74 GERSEN Jacob 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
75 LAI Coby 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
76 MCDERMOTT Brian - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
77 BURKE Cyril - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
78 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 4% 24% 41% 25% 5%
79 SHAH Maximilian A. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
80 DOUGLAS Colin F. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 2%
81 MA Shuhe 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
82 KAIN Brad 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
83 MARSHALL William L. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
83 FENWICK Luke A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
85 SANTOS Felipe 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
86 PARTE Aidan 57% 37% 6% - - -
87 PAUL Max A. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
88 MARKHAM Jimmy 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
89 HU Jansen T. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
90 JENNINGS Adin 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
91 LIU Kenneth 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
92 EGAN Edward L. 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
93 ZHANG Franklin 60% 34% 6% - - - -
94 ADAMIAN David 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
95 HOUST Michael D. 2% 15% 39% 34% 9% 1% -
96 GREELEY Shawn 16% 41% 31% 11% 2% - -
97 BAZURO Andrew 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
98 CONNORS Jacob 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
99 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
100 WU Joseph 11% 42% 36% 9% 1% - -
101 MACKIN Samuel 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
102 SIMPSON Patrick 6% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
103 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
104 HERMANSON David B. 18% 52% 25% 4% - -
105 TODREAS Simon 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
106 ORODENKER Aiden M. 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
107 MAROOTIAN Alex S. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
108 BOISLARD Jacob R. 36% 45% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.