Choco Therapy Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 8, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Savage Fencing Club - Savage, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
2 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
5 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
7 YI Nathan 100% 100% 96% 69% 23% 2%
8 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 98% 79% 34% 4%
9 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 1%
10 KENYON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
11 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 59% 12%
12 RIVERA RIVERA Christian 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
13 YU Jason 100% 100% 97% 66% 23% 2%
14 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
15 BEREKNYEI Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
16 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 8%
17 MARSH Alex 100% 97% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
18 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 99% 79% 34% 5%
19 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 4%
20 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 1%
21 NISHIDOI Yusaku 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
22 SIMS Martin L. 100% 98% 82% 43% 9% - -
23 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 100% 91% 52% 10% 1% -
24 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
25 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
26 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 97% 73% 32% 6%
27 COFFEY Jacob 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
28 SAVAGE Austin 100% 70% 20% 2% - -
29 WOOLF Fredrika 100% 97% 74% 17% 1% -
30 KENYON Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 3%
31 MOORE Guy L. 100% 99% 85% 42% 9% -
32 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
33 MURPHY Megan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
34 MERIWETHER Anne 100% 90% 36% 4% - -
35 LORENZ Nathan 100% 31% 4% - - -
36 FOOR Jonathan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
37 LUKAS Alexander 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
38 PERKINS Zoe 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
39 HALE Bradley 100% 25% 2% - - - -
40 TAN Theodore 100% 56% 9% 1% - -
41 WHITTINGTON Kelly 100% 26% 2% - - -
42 NESTERUK Hope 100% 74% 19% 2% - -
42 FAN Yonghua 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
44 PAWTAN Carly 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.