GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, March 14, 2025 at 2:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RICHARDSON Ray 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
2 BOSS Evan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
3 ULMAN Nathan - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
3 SNYDER Alex - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10% 1%
5 GOLCU Doruk 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
6 CHEN Isaac Zhi 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
7 NALLICHERI Ayaan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
8 SEABLOOM Jack 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
9 AYAR Riley - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
10 SAHA Sayan - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
11 JANYSKA Allen 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
12 LARSON Vaughn 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
13 PATEL Aayan 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
14 BROUGHAM Brice 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
15 SAYLOR Henry 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
16 ASIALA Niilo 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
17 STREETER Oliver 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
18 TIMEK Jan 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
19 REAUME Nate - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
20 LEITNER Seth - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
21 VERWORN Jonathan 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
22 FRANGER Jeff 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
23 HUANG Max 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
24 WILTSE Alexander - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% -
25 TICHENOR Abreham 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
26 UNDERHILL Jeff 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.