GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, March 14, 2025 at 2:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
2 BOSS Evan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
3 ULMAN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
3 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10% 1%
5 GOLCU Doruk 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
6 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
7 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
8 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
9 AYAR Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
10 SAHA Sayan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
11 JANYSKA Allen 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
12 LARSON Vaughn 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
13 PATEL Aayan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
14 BROUGHAM Brice 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
15 SAYLOR Henry 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
16 ASIALA Niilo 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
17 STREETER Oliver 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
18 TIMEK Jan 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
19 REAUME Nate 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
20 LEITNER Seth 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
21 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
22 FRANGER Jeff 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
23 HUANG Max 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
24 WILTSE Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9% -
25 TICHENOR Abreham 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
26 UNDERHILL Jeff 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.