Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene - - - 1% 6% 30% 64%
2 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
3 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 MIKHAIL Lucas - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
6 LUO Alexander - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
7 KIM Doyun - 2% 13% 35% 37% 14%
8 DANILOV Artur - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
9 CHANG Matthew - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
10 YAO Tristan - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
11 THOMAS Andrew - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
12 BORAN Brooks - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
13 ZHUKOV Egor 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
14 KIM Julian - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
15 MEDISETTI Arjun - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
16 ARMSTRONG Payson 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 2%
17 SHIM Jae - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
18 BHANDARE Veer - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
19 ZHANG jonathan - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 6%
20 MASKIN Mikhail - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
21 FRIZZELL Kai - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
22 ELLIS, IV Floyd - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
23 ZHOU Luke - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
24 YAO Aiden - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
25 YAO Ryan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
26 KONG Ethan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
27 YU Jeremy 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
28 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
29 WU Jiachen 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
30 FEELY Benjamin 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
31 SHAPIRO Samuel - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
32 TANG Daniel - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
33 ZHENG Jason - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
34 KIM Siwoo 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
35 KIM Daniel - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
36 ZHAO ryan 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
37 CHO Adrian - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
38 YAKHNIS Seth 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
39 KIM Louie 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
40 BUTLER Xavier 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
40 QI Bryan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
42 WHITE Jackson - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
43 STRAFFORD Andrew 3% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
44 HAM Ian 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
45 DEVISETTY Sohun 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
46 LAI Jayden 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
47 ALPSOY Emir - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
48 FRY John 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
49 MILLER Xavier 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
50 GUJJA Rishabh - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
51 ROBERTS Arthur - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
52 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
53 DING Charlie 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
54 SON Isaac 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
55 CHA Aiden 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
55 LEE Taeryum 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
57 PARK Ethan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
58 YOU Asher 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
58 FAYEZ Adam - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
60 YAO Irvine 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
61 WEI Jayden 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
62 ZHAO Brandon 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
63 BURT Jonathan Parker 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
64 KUYKENDALL Logan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
65 KELLY Blair 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
66 KUYKENDALL Lucas 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
67 KABEALO Charles 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
68 PATEL Yash 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
69 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
70 MAXWELL Taiga 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
71 SCOTTODIMARCO James 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
72 SHIM Jaeyoo - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 1%
73 QU ethan 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
74 WHITE Leonardo 5% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
75 BHATT Shivam 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
76 YOU Emmanuel 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
77 KANG Ihan 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
78 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
79 SUK Kwon 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
80 FEELY Samuel 8% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
81 LEE Eric 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
82 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
83 KESELMAN Ron 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
84 CHEN Benjamin 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
85 CHEN Regis 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
86 CHONG Eden 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
87 ZHOU Silvan 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
88 PATEL Tej 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
89 GREEN Hudson 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
90 TUTELMAN Shon 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
91 AJMERI Mikhail 1% 7% 31% 45% 15% 1%
92 BRADFORD Davis 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
93 IMBERG Matthew 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
94 MORET Declan 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
95 CHONG Nikolai < 1% 8% 36% 37% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.