Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
2 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
3 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
6 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
7 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
8 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
9 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
10 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
11 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
13 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
14 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
15 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
16 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
17 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
18 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
19 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
20 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
21 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
22 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
23 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 3%
24 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
25 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
26 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
27 YU Jeremy 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
28 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
29 WU Jiachen 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
30 FEELY Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
31 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
32 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
33 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 39% 10%
34 KIM Siwoo 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
35 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
36 ZHAO ryan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 9% 1%
37 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
38 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
39 KIM Louie 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
40 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
40 QI Bryan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
42 WHITE Jackson 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
43 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1%
44 HAM Ian 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
45 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
46 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
47 ALPSOY Emir 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
48 FRY John 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
49 MILLER Xavier 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
50 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
51 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
52 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
53 DING Charlie 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
54 SON Isaac 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
55 CHA Aiden 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
55 LEE Taeryum 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
57 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
58 YOU Asher 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
58 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
60 YAO Irvine 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
61 WEI Jayden 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
62 ZHAO Brandon 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
63 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
64 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
65 KELLY Blair 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
66 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
67 KABEALO Charles 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
68 PATEL Yash 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
69 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
70 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
71 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
72 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 1%
73 QU ethan 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
74 WHITE Leonardo 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
75 BHATT Shivam 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
76 YOU Emmanuel 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
77 KANG Ihan 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
78 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
79 SUK Kwon 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
80 FEELY Samuel 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
81 LEE Eric 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
82 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
83 KESELMAN Ron 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
84 CHEN Benjamin 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
85 CHEN Regis 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
86 CHONG Eden 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
87 ZHOU Silvan 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% 1% -
88 PATEL Tej 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
89 GREEN Hudson 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
90 TUTELMAN Shon 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
91 AJMERI Mikhail 100% 99% 92% 61% 17% 1%
92 BRADFORD Davis 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
93 IMBERG Matthew 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
94 MORET Declan 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
95 CHONG Nikolai 100% 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.