Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
3 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
5 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
6 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
7 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
8 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
9 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 87% 47% 10%
10 PACHECO Carys 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
11 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
12 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
13 LIN Laura 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
14 RADOV Una 100% 100% 96% 55% 15% 1%
15 CHO Anya 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 2%
16 XIONG Alice 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1%
17 BUCA Nora 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
18 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
19 WANG Lihong 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
20 DU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
21 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 3%
22 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
23 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
24 LU Chloe 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
25 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
26 KUTSY Olga 100% 100% 100% 89% 50% 11%
26 WANG Chantal 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
28 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
29 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
30 WANG Ailly 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
31 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
32 MAENG Gloria 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
33 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
34 ROBLES Claudia 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
35 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
36 ZHAO Ellie 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
37 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
38 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
39 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 95% 68% 28% 5%
40 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
41 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 98% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
42 DENEALE Lucia 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
43 LI Anna 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
44 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
45 YOON Claire 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
46 HAN Sydney 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
47 VOO Evelyn 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
48 DAI Sophie 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
49 LIAO irene 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 7%
50 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
51 KOHLER Chrissy 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
52 YIP Allison 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
53 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
54 WANG Olivia 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
55 YUNG Bethany 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
57 HAN Yuchen 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
58 GUO Elena 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
59 LE Luana 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% - -
60 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
61 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 72% 23% 3% - -
62 XU Aasta 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
63 LI Wan-Tao 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
65 TIEN Shaylin 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
66 LEONG Andrea 100% 87% 48% 11% 1%
67 GAN Shelby 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
68 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
69 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% - -
70 LI Carlie 100% 93% 68% 34% 9% 1% -
71 LEE Adelynn 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
72 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
73 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
74 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 81% 29% 5% - -
75 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
76 LI Mia 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% - -
77 LI Allison 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
78 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
79 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
80 LICHTENFELD Naomi 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
81 DEJOY Leilah 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
82 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
83 FLYNN Kensington 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
84 YIN Angelina 100% 79% 35% 7% -
85 BEATINGO Chelli 100% 61% 7% - - -
86 PARKE Jaime 100% 57% 12% 1% - -
87 SUN Joanna 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
88 HATHAWAY Alesya 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
89 ZU Jacqueline 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
90 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
91 CHAE Avery 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
92 XIE Yuyan 100% 98% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
93 MUKKU Emily 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
94 AGARWAL Keya 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
95 MIAO Anthea 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
96 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
96 VINLUAN Emma 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
98 LUCENA Yaretzi 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
99 TRUONG Chloe 100% 45% 7% - - -
100 REN Ivanka 100% 83% 41% 8% -
101 PARK Rachel 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
102 TANG Zixin 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
103 CHU Brianna 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
104 CHAI Serena 100% 48% 3% - - -
105 TAI AMANDA 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1% -
106 LI Jennifer 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.