Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Victoria - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
2 WANG Jessie - - - 4% 24% 51% 20%
3 HABEK Sophia - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
3 HANKINS Morgan - - - - 2% 19% 79%
5 WU Jessica - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
6 FU Shannon - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
7 HE Anna - - 3% 25% 72%
8 XU Amy(Chenyu) - 2% 15% 38% 35% 11%
9 FISCHBEIN Quinley - - 13% 40% 37% 10%
10 PACHECO Carys - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
11 SUN Karolyn - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
12 WONG Sydney - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
13 LIN Laura - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
14 RADOV Una - 4% 40% 40% 13% 1%
15 CHO Anya 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
16 XIONG Alice 3% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
17 BUCA Nora - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
18 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
19 WANG Lihong - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
20 DU Chloe - 4% 16% 32% 33% 14% 1%
21 CIOBANU Celine - 7% 31% 39% 20% 3%
22 LI Yunxuan (Joy) - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
23 LIN Isabel - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
24 LU Chloe 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
25 DWIGGINS Reese - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
26 KUTSY Olga - - 11% 39% 39% 11%
26 WANG Chantal - 3% 21% 39% 29% 7%
28 ARULKUMAR Lashia 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
29 ZHAO Emma - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
30 WANG Ailly 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
31 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
32 MAENG Gloria 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
33 LIN Ariel - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
34 ROBLES Claudia - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
35 CHEN Julia Z. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
36 ZHAO Ellie 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
37 MANDAP Alessandra - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
38 SHERMAN Olivia - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
39 WANG Nicole - 5% 27% 40% 23% 5%
40 ARNOLD Evangeline 2% 15% 40% 38% 6%
41 ERISMAN Gabriella 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
42 DENEALE Lucia - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
43 LI Anna - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4%
44 KOU Cynthia - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
45 YOON Claire 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
46 HAN Sydney 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
47 VOO Evelyn 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
48 DAI Sophie 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
49 LIAO irene - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 7%
50 MOHAN Riya - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
51 KOHLER Chrissy 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
52 YIP Allison - 4% 17% 33% 32% 12% 1%
53 BUDMAN Ava - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
54 WANG Olivia 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
55 YUNG Bethany - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
57 HAN Yuchen - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
58 GUO Elena - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
59 LE Luana 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
60 LEE Kaitlyn 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
61 THOMAS Mackenzie 28% 50% 20% 3% - -
62 XU Aasta 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
63 LI Wan-Tao 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
65 TIEN Shaylin 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 2%
66 LEONG Andrea 13% 39% 36% 11% 1%
67 GAN Shelby - 1% 10% 32% 42% 14%
68 KIM Vivian - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
69 DEKERMANJI kate 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
70 LI Carlie 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
71 LEE Adelynn 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
72 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
73 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
74 UEMURA Lyllia 19% 52% 24% 4% - -
75 LEE Yeriel - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
76 LI Mia 16% 47% 29% 7% 1% - -
77 LI Allison 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
78 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
79 SCANLAN Alina Nev 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
80 LICHTENFELD Naomi 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
81 DEJOY Leilah 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
82 DYMAR Anna - 4% 18% 36% 32% 11%
83 FLYNN Kensington 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
84 YIN Angelina 21% 43% 29% 6% -
85 BEATINGO Chelli 39% 54% 6% - - -
86 PARKE Jaime 43% 45% 11% 1% - -
87 SUN Joanna 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
88 HATHAWAY Alesya 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
89 ZU Jacqueline 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
90 ZHAO Yanning - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
91 CHAE Avery 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
92 XIE Yuyan 2% 18% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
93 MUKKU Emily 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
94 AGARWAL Keya 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
95 MIAO Anthea 4% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
96 GRAZIANO Josephine 32% 42% 20% 5% - - -
96 VINLUAN Emma 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
98 LUCENA Yaretzi 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
99 TRUONG Chloe 55% 38% 6% - - -
100 REN Ivanka 17% 42% 33% 8% -
101 PARK Rachel 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
102 TANG Zixin 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
103 CHU Brianna 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
104 CHAI Serena 52% 45% 3% - - -
105 TAI AMANDA 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
106 LI Jennifer 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.