Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DYMAR Anna - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
2 CHO Anya - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 ARULKUMAR Lashia - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 WANG Chantal - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
5 CIOBANU Celine - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
6 DEKERMANJI kate 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
7 XIONG Alice - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
8 LI Anna - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
9 ERISMAN Gabriella - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
10 ZHAO Ellie - - 4% 16% 36% 34% 10%
11 VIJAY Vaishnavi - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
12 YIP Allison - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7%
13 KOU Cynthia - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
14 DU Chloe - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
15 SCHULTZ Sumi - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
16 XU Aasta - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
17 WANG Nicole - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
18 LIAO irene - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
19 FU Shannon - - - 1% 9% 44% 46%
20 WANG Olivia - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
21 LYNTON Olivia 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
22 YIN Angelina 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
23 LI Allison - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
25 FLYNN Kensington - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
26 WANG Lihong - - - 2% 15% 52% 31%
27 YU Jiaming 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
28 LI Carlie - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
29 MUKKU Emily 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
30 KIM Vivian - 3% 17% 39% 32% 9%
31 ARNOLD Evangeline - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
32 WANG Ailly - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
33 PARKE Jaime 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
34 LICHTENFELD Naomi - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
35 MAENG Gloria - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
36 LYNTON Alexandra 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
37 DU Chelsea - 3% 16% 39% 34% 7% -
38 LI Mia 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
39 SUN Joanna - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
40 TRUONG Chloe 5% 28% 40% 22% 4% - -
41 MILLER Grey 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
42 LEONG Andrea - 7% 27% 41% 22% 3% -
43 CHU Brianna 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
44 VOO Evelyn 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
45 SIU Mila - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
46 WANG Kercedes Ye 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
47 REN Ivanka 2% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
48 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
49 YOON Claire - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
50 CHAI Serena 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
51 YANG Emma 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
52 MIAO Anthea 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
53 TAI AMANDA 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
54 GUO Elena - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
55 KHOURI Sara 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
56 KOHLER Chrissy 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
57 DAI Sophie 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
58 TRIVULCE Scarlett 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
59 YANG Nina 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
60 LUCAS Cynthia 7% 33% 40% 17% 3% - -
60 POON Eleni 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
62 KWAK Olivia 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
63 CHONG Emma 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
64 KEDAN Carmella 71% 26% 3% - - -
65 MANDAP Natalya 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
66 LEE Layla 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
67 LUO Xinyue 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
68 BEATINGO Chelli 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
69 DEFENSOR Ella 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
70 WANG Phoebe 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
71 BREWER Isis 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
72 VINLUAN Emma 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
73 YU Elise 32% 44% 20% 3% - -
74 LA Evelyn 87% 13% 1% - - - -
75 YAO Astrid 72% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.