Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 CHO Anya 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
3 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 WANG Chantal 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
5 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
6 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4%
7 XIONG Alice 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
8 LI Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
9 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
10 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
11 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
12 YIP Allison 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 7%
13 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
14 DU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
15 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
16 XU Aasta 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
17 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
18 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
19 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 46%
20 WANG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
21 LYNTON Olivia 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
22 YIN Angelina 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
23 LI Allison 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
25 FLYNN Kensington 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
26 WANG Lihong 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 31%
27 YU Jiaming 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
28 LI Carlie 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
29 MUKKU Emily 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
30 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
31 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
32 WANG Ailly 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
33 PARKE Jaime 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
34 LICHTENFELD Naomi 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
35 MAENG Gloria 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 36% 8%
36 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% -
37 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7% -
38 LI Mia 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
39 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
40 TRUONG Chloe 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
41 MILLER Grey 100% 93% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
42 LEONG Andrea 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3% -
43 CHU Brianna 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
44 VOO Evelyn 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
45 SIU Mila 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
46 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
47 REN Ivanka 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% 1%
48 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
49 YOON Claire 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
50 CHAI Serena 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
51 YANG Emma 100% 99% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
52 MIAO Anthea 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
53 TAI AMANDA 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
54 GUO Elena 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
55 KHOURI Sara 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
56 KOHLER Chrissy 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
57 DAI Sophie 100% 97% 70% 29% 5% -
58 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
59 YANG Nina 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
60 LUCAS Cynthia 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
60 POON Eleni 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
62 KWAK Olivia 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
63 CHONG Emma 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
64 KEDAN Carmella 100% 29% 3% - - -
65 MANDAP Natalya 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
66 LEE Layla 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
67 LUO Xinyue 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
68 BEATINGO Chelli 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
69 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
70 WANG Phoebe 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
71 BREWER Isis 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
72 VINLUAN Emma 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
73 YU Elise 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
74 LA Evelyn 100% 13% 1% - - - -
75 YAO Astrid 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.