United State Collegiate Club Championships 2025

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 8:45 AM

Nittany Valley Sports Center - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
3 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
6 JACKSON James 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
7 CHU Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
8 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
9 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
10 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
11 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
12 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
13 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
14 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
15 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
16 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
17 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
18 MITTAL Sanil 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
19 SOLBERG Aiden 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
20 LEE Matthew 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% < 1%
21 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
22 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
23 RODRIGUES Vasco 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
24 SCHECHTER Noah 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
25 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
26 HOLCOMB Wesley 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 6%
27 JU Bryan 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
28 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
29 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1%
30 KULIKOWSKI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
31 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
32 LIN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
33 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 8%
34 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
35 WONG Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
36 SHETTY Surya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 11%
37 GRAYSON Shane 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
37 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
39 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1% -
40 SO Lorenzo 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
41 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
42 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
43 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% 1%
44 ARNEMANN Jonas 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
45 LOPEZ Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
46 WENTINK Andrew 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
47 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
48 BLACK Brennan 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
49 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
50 STETSON Jahaan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
51 WU Tianqi 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 8% -
52 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
53 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
54 GRANDA-MUSA Lucas F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
54 KWONG Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
56 MILLER Owen 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
57 KINSELLA John 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
58 REINEKE Alexander 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% - -
59 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
60 HEFFERMAN Owen 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
61 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
62 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
63 JHA Rahul 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 5%
64 SHELLY Emery 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
65 LOBRON John 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
66 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
67 TAYLOR Liam F. 100% 96% 67% 21% 3% - -
68 FEES Holden 100% 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1%
69 KOLKER Gregory A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
70 VOLCHEK Leonard 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
71 SONG Zhihao 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
71 IBE Chidube 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
73 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 95% 63% 20% 2%
74 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 17% 1%
75 JACKSON Bobby 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
76 BECHLER Connor N. 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
77 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
78 NANCE Hogan 100% 92% 50% 12% 1% - -
79 WESTON Aaron 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
80 GRECO Caden 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
81 THOMAS Joshua 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% - -
81 HAAVIK Kai 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
83 JIANG Chenhe 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2% -
84 HARDAWAY William 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
85 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 5%
86 CHEN Jerry 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% - -
87 CHEN Elijah 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
88 HEALY Declan 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
89 WANG Tyler 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
90 SANDIE Derek 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
91 WU Marcus 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
92 FORDAHL Beckett 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
93 SENECHAL Alexander 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
94 KIM Michael 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2%
95 BARGE Jackson 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
96 PANG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
97 CHEWAKULA Piyush Naidu 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
98 MADAR Maximilian 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
99 KIM Jooyoung 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
100 ERICKSON Jonas 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
101 MALLAPU Akhilesh 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
101 KUTLU Mehmet Selim 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
103 REID James 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
104 CHIN Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
105 LI Jiucheng 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
106 WANG Kobe 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
106 PAVAN Massimo 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
108 LYNCH Joe 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
109 WON Seungwook 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
110 CHAN Aidan 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
111 WILKIE Euan 100% 92% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
112 KOYLUOGLU Kerem 100% 100% 98% 74% 29% 3% -
113 LE Nathan 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
114 BURRIS James 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
115 ORSAG Ty 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
116 BHAGWAT Aryan 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1%
117 KRALICEK Emmet 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
118 RASSEL John 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
119 PIRTLE Hawkeye 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
119 VASALI Nolan 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
121 AVILA Heru 100% 96% 67% 24% 3% - -
122 PEZZINO Matthew 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% - -
123 MATAMIS Joaquin G. 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
123 FOLEY Max 100% 96% 67% 17% 2% - -
125 CULLEN Reilly 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
126 KAZAN Matt 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
127 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% - -
127 KOGAN Ilya 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
129 SHANNON Henry 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
130 WANG Kelvin 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
131 NEPOMUCENO Elijah 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
132 ROSKELLEY Luke 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
133 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
134 SPECTER Luka 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
135 LONESKY Parker 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
136 SHICK Alexander 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
137 WU Jia Y. 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
138 EDWARDS Ryan 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
138 DRACH Evan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
140 RENJEN Ishan 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
141 LEE Aidan 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 5% -
141 RAUDENBUSH Aidan 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
143 KARTHIKEYAKANNAN Madhav 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
144 RAMIREZ Alan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
145 NICKINGS Joshua 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
146 FREED Ethan 100% 33% 4% - - - -
147 EGAN Finn 100% 95% 59% 16% 2% - -
148 WAMPLER Zachery 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
149 SEIDEL Kurt 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
149 BAE Alexadner 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
151 BOYD Jalen 100% 94% 61% 13% 1% -
152 NEEMAN Benjamin 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
153 MOO Kaw 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
153 WARNER Nathan 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
155 HILTON Jacob 100% 39% 6% - - - -
156 SPIEGEL Zach 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
157 PATEL Divyam 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.