American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 IPPOLITO-JOHN Matteo 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
5 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
7 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
8 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
9 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 17%
10 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
11 WANG Devin 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 8%
12 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
13 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
14 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 6%
15 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 29%
16 LI Ryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
17 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
18 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
19 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 10%
20 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
21 KABA Elias 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
22 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
23 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
24 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
25 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
26 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
27 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 13%
28 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
29 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 2%
30 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
31 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
32 BRESLAV Asher 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
33 ZHANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
34 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
35 GU Eric 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
36 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
37 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
38 AU Joshua 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
39 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% 1%
40 HE Bronto 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
41 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
42 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
43 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
44 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
44 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
46 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 90% 59% 16% 1%
47 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 7%
48 LI Terence 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
49 MOZZER Nolan 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
50 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
50 CAO Gavin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
52 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
53 WU Matthew 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
54 BATISTA Julian 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
55 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 4%
56 WANG Eason 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
57 NG Nico 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
58 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
59 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16% 1%
60 KIM Doyun 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
61 WEISELBERG Mark 100% 100% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
62 LIN John 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5% -
63 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
64 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
65 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
66 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
67 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
68 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
69 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
70 HAN Keyi 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
71 DAI Jason 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1% -
72 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
73 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
74 MA Joseph 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
75 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
75 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
77 CHEN Cameron 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
78 YU David 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
79 ROBINSON Blake 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
80 LI Jayden 100% 96% 71% 30% 5% - -
81 QI Bryan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
82 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
83 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
84 GILMORE Noah 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
85 MCCABE Kian 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
86 GAO Ryan 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
87 LEE Elijah 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
88 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 3%
89 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% -
90 KIM Julian 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
91 CHO Adrian 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
91 CHEN Hayden 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
91 CHAU Collin 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
94 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
95 FENG Xinmin 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
95 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
97 HONG Ethen 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
98 SHAO Mason 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
99 CHAN Tyler 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
100 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
101 TOMPA Paul 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
102 SHEN Alaric 100% 100% 100% 94% 57% 15% 1%
103 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
103 WU Jiachen 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
103 TANG Colin 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
106 TONG Anson Tin Hang 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
107 KESELMAN Ron 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
108 MA Brendon 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
109 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
110 JEPP Michael 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
111 CHEN Jayden A 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
112 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
113 CHIANG William 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
114 LI Tyrese 100% 38% 6% - - -
115 NOOL Aaron 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
116 WITHERELL Logan 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
117 SMITH Theo 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1% -
118 WHITE Jackson 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
119 DUDKA Ivan 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
120 KHAHAM Samuel 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
121 LAI Jayden 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
122 CIANCHETTA David 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
123 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
124 YOON Jonathan 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
125 MELUCCI Jonathan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
126 ZHANG yinuo 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
127 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
128 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
129 KIM Louie 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
130 MILLER Xavier 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
131 ROFINO Samuel 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
132 CHEN Daniel 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
133 ZHAO Brandon 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
134 MILLER Balthazar 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
135 JIANG Aidan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
136 YOO Lucas 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
137 LANE Sawyer 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
138 TANG Luke 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
138 DIRUGGIERO Myles 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -
140 YU George 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
141 DIXON Miles 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
142 BOXER Eishan 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
143 DING Charlie 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
144 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
145 LEE Ryan 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
146 DINIC Pavle 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
146 FISHER Derek 100% 28% 3% - - - -
148 HUEMMER James 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.