American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Derrick - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 CHANG Parker - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
3 TANG Royce - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 DESERANNO Leander - - - - 5% 28% 67%
5 HOU Gaven - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
5 PAN Ethan - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 KINGSLEY Griffin - - - 4% 24% 45% 26%
8 KIM Daniel - 1% 6% 29% 48% 16%
9 LI Jayden - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
10 HUYNH Matthew - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
11 XIAN kevin - - - 2% 22% 77%
12 PLUMMER Waylon - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
13 WANG Mendy - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
14 NOVIKOV Yann - - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
15 WU Alexander - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
16 CHOI Hunter - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
17 WU Wallace - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
18 SUSANTO William - - 9% 41% 49%
19 LU Brandon - - 2% 10% 32% 39% 16%
20 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
21 LIU Alex - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
22 PAN Howard Haoran - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
23 SONG Enoch - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
24 ZHENG Lerui - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
24 VENAFRO Tristan - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
26 MURDOCK Koichi - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
27 LEE Kyle - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
28 KIAYIAS Alexander - 1% 7% 32% 52% 9%
29 QIAN Zekai - - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
30 LIN Ziyue 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
31 GRIGORIEV Michael - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
32 YANG Luca 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 6% -
33 FAN Ze Lin - - 1% 8% 38% 54%
34 QU Zhida (richard) - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
35 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
36 WONG Blayke 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
37 KUBBA Krish 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
38 MOON Nolan - 8% 32% 41% 17% 1%
39 KIAYIAS Anthony 1% 10% 47% 36% 7%
40 ULYSSE Jacob - - 3% 17% 38% 35% 7%
41 AMR HOSSNY Adam 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
42 ZHANG Aaron - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
43 REN Ryan - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
44 KEEGAN Cole 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
45 SHAW eric 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
46 HUANG Dalynn - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
47 XIA Vincent - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
48 CAO Aaron - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
49 ZHANG Vincent J 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
50 CAO Joshua - 3% 28% 50% 18%
51 WU Gengze (Daniel) 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
52 YANG Crescent 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
53 ZHANG Eric 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
54 GUGALA Frank - 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
55 WU David 1% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
56 QIAN Will - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
57 SHARMA Ari - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
58 HU Michael - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
59 SUN Nathan - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
60 HUYNH Kaleb 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
61 ROPER Griffin 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
62 KUPERBERG Thomas 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
63 BU Ethan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
64 ZHENG Vincent 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
65 XU Jason - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
66 HUA Isaac 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
67 TIAN Dylan 5% 27% 42% 23% 4% -
68 ZHAO David - 1% 12% 39% 41% 7%
69 HUANG Jinyao - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
70 SU Aiden - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
71 WU Max 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
72 WANG Jaaziel - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
73 XIE Jayden 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
74 XU Jonathan 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% - -
75 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 1% 13% 40% 36% 10% 1%
76 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 1% 13% 36% 37% 11% 1%
77 DAVIDSON Henry 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
78 WU Yulen 6% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
79 ROTH Gavin 47% 45% 7% - -
79 YU Adam 1% 12% 35% 39% 11% -
81 CHEN Kyler - 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
81 SALEH Yassin 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
83 ZHONG Kingsley - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
84 FANG Lionel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
85 LIN George 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
86 YOON Mason 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
86 DHALIWAL Zorawar Singh 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
88 BRADY David 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
88 YU Oliver 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
90 STABROWSKI Joaquin 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
91 FOMIN Dashiell 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
92 HONG Thomas 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
93 LI Eric 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -
94 TIAN Andy 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
95 PARK Joshua 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
96 HUANG Anthony 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
98 GRIFFIN Andrew 8% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
99 POLEBOYINA Aarav 59% 35% 6% - - -
100 SAWANT Sarthak 22% 43% 28% 7% - -
101 WANG Joshua 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
102 LEE Ryan 15% 38% 33% 12% 1% - -
103 MORALES Tycho 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
104 LIU Mason 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
105 WONG Maxwell 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
106 WU Connor 2% 29% 42% 22% 5% - -
106 XU Jaden 46% 39% 12% 2% - -
108 DAVE Neil 7% 38% 38% 15% 2% - -
109 CUI Ryan 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
110 PELLERIN Liam 18% 51% 25% 5% - - -
112 CHONG Cooper 12% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
113 GENG Vincent 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
114 FANG Ryan 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
115 HUDSON Jedidiah 35% 53% 11% 1% -
116 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
117 LU Ethan 12% 37% 37% 13% 1% -
118 NAYAK Saideep 73% 24% 3% - - - -
118 IM Andrew 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
120 DEGRYSE Leopold 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% - -
121 OBAS Logan X. 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
121 ZHAO Ethan 13% 46% 32% 8% 1% -
123 CAI Max 64% 30% 5% - - - -
124 ZHANG Vincent 59% 36% 5% - - - -
125 MADHAVARAPU Arjun 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
125 MATIYASH Andrew 81% 17% 1% - - - -
127 BLAIS Julian 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.