American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
3 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
5 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
8 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 16%
9 LI Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
10 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
11 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
12 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
13 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
14 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
15 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
16 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
17 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
18 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 100% 90% 49%
19 LU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
20 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
21 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
23 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
24 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
24 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
26 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
27 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
28 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 9%
29 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
30 LIN Ziyue 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
31 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
32 YANG Luca 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% -
33 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
34 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
35 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
36 WONG Blayke 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
37 KUBBA Krish 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
38 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 91% 59% 18% 1%
39 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 99% 90% 43% 7%
40 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
41 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
42 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
43 REN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
44 KEEGAN Cole 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
45 SHAW eric 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
46 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
47 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
48 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
49 ZHANG Vincent J 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
50 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 97% 69% 18%
51 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
52 YANG Crescent 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
53 ZHANG Eric 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
54 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
55 WU David 100% 99% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
56 QIAN Will 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
57 SHARMA Ari 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
58 HU Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
59 SUN Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
60 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
61 ROPER Griffin 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
62 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
63 BU Ethan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
64 ZHENG Vincent 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
65 XU Jason 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
66 HUA Isaac 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
67 TIAN Dylan 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
68 ZHAO David 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 7%
69 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
70 SU Aiden 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
71 WU Max 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
72 WANG Jaaziel 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
73 XIE Jayden 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
74 XU Jonathan 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% - -
75 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 99% 86% 46% 11% 1%
76 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 99% 85% 49% 12% 1%
77 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
78 WU Yulen 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
79 ROTH Gavin 100% 53% 7% - -
79 YU Adam 100% 99% 86% 51% 12% -
81 CHEN Kyler 100% 100% 95% 68% 30% 6% -
81 SALEH Yassin 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
83 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
84 FANG Lionel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
85 LIN George 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
86 YOON Mason 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
86 DHALIWAL Zorawar Singh 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
88 BRADY David 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
88 YU Oliver 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
90 STABROWSKI Joaquin 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
91 FOMIN Dashiell 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
92 HONG Thomas 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
93 LI Eric 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
94 TIAN Andy 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
95 PARK Joshua 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
96 HUANG Anthony 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
98 GRIFFIN Andrew 100% 92% 57% 18% 2% -
99 POLEBOYINA Aarav 100% 41% 6% - - -
100 SAWANT Sarthak 100% 78% 36% 7% - -
101 WANG Joshua 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
102 LEE Ryan 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
103 MORALES Tycho 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
104 LIU Mason 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
105 WONG Maxwell 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
106 WU Connor 100% 98% 69% 27% 5% - -
106 XU Jaden 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
108 DAVE Neil 100% 93% 55% 17% 3% - -
109 CUI Ryan 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
110 PELLERIN Liam 100% 82% 31% 5% - - -
112 CHONG Cooper 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
113 GENG Vincent 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
114 FANG Ryan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
115 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 65% 12% 1% -
116 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
117 LU Ethan 100% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
118 NAYAK Saideep 100% 27% 3% - - - -
118 IM Andrew 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
120 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% - -
121 OBAS Logan X. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
121 ZHAO Ethan 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% -
123 CAI Max 100% 36% 5% - - - -
124 ZHANG Vincent 100% 41% 5% - - - -
125 MADHAVARAPU Arjun 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
125 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 19% 1% - - - -
127 BLAIS Julian 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.