Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 XIA Dashan - - 2% 14% 46% 39%
3 LIDSKY Phineas - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
3 TRAN Spencer - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
5 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 8%
8 LIU Adam - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
9 LEE DoWon - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
9 LI Jade - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
11 KARIMOV Amir - - 4% 21% 49% 26%
12 BAJAJ Nakul - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
13 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
14 KIM Henry - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
15 LYCHKO Maksym - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
16 CHEN Leonardo - - 3% 19% 49% 28%
17 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
18 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
19 JIANG Matthew - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 15%
20 MA YIXING (Tiger) - 2% 9% 25% 36% 23% 4%
21 LEE Anton - 5% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
22 AHMED Mohsen - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
23 GOVOROV Alexander 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
24 CHEN Jayden - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 4%
25 MILINKOVIC Maksim - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
26 DURKIN Hudson - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
27 OSHIMA Robert 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
28 SONG Changze - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
29 LEE Aiden - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
30 WU Matthew 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
31 GAO Victor - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
32 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
33 NAKAS Levent - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
34 LI Morgan - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
35 ZHAO Pierce 3% 20% 39% 30% 7% -
36 JHA Adarsh 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
37 LEE Henry 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
38 STARKIE Kitteridge 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
39 BRADSHAW Carter - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
40 MCFADDEN Charles 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
41 ZHANG Jonathan 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
42 JOHNSON Dieko 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
43 TANG Colin 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
44 CUMMINGS Owen 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
45 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
46 MAKOLO Hudson 7% 29% 40% 20% 3% -
47 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
48 FRIEDMAN Andres 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
49 YU David 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
50 NILSEN Mark 3% 16% 37% 34% 9% 1%
51 HELMY Richard - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
52 NG Nico 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
53 LEVESQUE Gabriel 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
54 ROBINSON Garrett 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
55 RAMEY Daylon 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
56 CUELLAR Markus 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
57 SZCZAPA Lukas - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
58 KUSACTAY Eric 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
59 LI Ryan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
60 ZHAI Junqi 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
61 KIM Zac 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
62 AU Joshua 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
63 KOGAN Yelisey L. 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
64 ZHENG Jason 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
65 NOOL Alexander 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
66 CZEPLA Andrew 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
67 MARRAN John 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
68 YU Kenneth 44% 41% 14% 2% - -
69 LAU LUCAS 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
70 ZHANG Shuhao 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
71 CHEMAKIN Maxim 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
72 NUSCHKE Conrad 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
73 CHO Adrian 10% 31% 36% 18% 5% - -
74 WITHERELL Logan 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
75 FRIZZELL Kai 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
76 ALABI Azryl 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
77 NIE Ethan 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
78 ANDRUS Julien 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
79 MANSFIELD Hunter 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
80 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
81 NUSCHKE Luka 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.