Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
3 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
3 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
8 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
9 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
9 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
11 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
12 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 6%
13 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
14 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
15 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
16 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
17 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
18 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
19 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
20 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 4%
21 LEE Anton 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
22 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
23 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
24 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
25 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
26 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
27 OSHIMA Robert 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
28 SONG Changze 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
29 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
30 WU Matthew 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
31 GAO Victor 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
32 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
33 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
34 LI Morgan 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
35 ZHAO Pierce 100% 97% 76% 37% 7% -
36 JHA Adarsh 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
37 LEE Henry 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% -
38 STARKIE Kitteridge 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
39 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
40 MCFADDEN Charles 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
41 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
42 JOHNSON Dieko 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
43 TANG Colin 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
44 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
45 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
46 MAKOLO Hudson 100% 93% 63% 24% 3% -
47 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
48 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
49 YU David 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
50 NILSEN Mark 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% 1%
51 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
52 NG Nico 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
53 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
54 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
55 RAMEY Daylon 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
56 CUELLAR Markus 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
57 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
58 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
59 LI Ryan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
60 ZHAI Junqi 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
61 KIM Zac 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
62 AU Joshua 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
63 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
64 ZHENG Jason 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
65 NOOL Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
66 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
67 MARRAN John 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
68 YU Kenneth 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
69 LAU LUCAS 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
70 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
71 CHEMAKIN Maxim 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
72 NUSCHKE Conrad 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
73 CHO Adrian 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
74 WITHERELL Logan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
75 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
76 ALABI Azryl 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
77 NIE Ethan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
78 ANDRUS Julien 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
79 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
80 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
81 NUSCHKE Luka 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.