Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
2 DESAI Ela 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
3 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
3 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
5 LI Caroline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
6 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
7 LI Xier 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
8 KALI Aiana 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
9 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
10 SILVA Hailey 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
11 WU Madisen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
12 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 96% 75% 33% 5% -
13 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
14 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
15 NOLAN Sophia 100% 98% 81% 40% 7% -
16 ZHU Danielle Jade 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
17 LIN Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
18 AXELROD Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
19 YOUNG Penelope 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
20 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 23%
21 WRIGHT Madison 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 6%
22 SHIN Jamie 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
23 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
24 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
25 IYENGAR Sthuthi 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
26 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 97% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
27 MARYAHIN Sophie 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
28 HOWARD Brielle 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
29 MEHMETOGLU Mina 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
30 MORET Teagan 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
31 PORTER Cora 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
32 YANAGIDA Coco 100% 99% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
33 ZHANG Sophia 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
34 KIM Kaylin 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.