Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TUCKER ALFONSO Javier 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 HAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 YIN Chujun 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
5 ZHU Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
6 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
7 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
8 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 2%
9 KE Sebastian 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
10 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
11 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
12 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
13 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
14 JEONG Arisu 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
15 YANG Alex 100% 93% 64% 25% 4%
16 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 79% 38% 9% 1%
17 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
18 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
19 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
20 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
21 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
22 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
23 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
24 MCCLEAN III Walter F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 37% 9%
25 DILDA Griffin 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
26 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
27 KIM Zac 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
28 DELONG Joshua 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
29 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
30 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
31 SALLAI Abel 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
32 KOOB Julian 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
33 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
34 CHA Patrick 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
35 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% -
36 HU Alexander W. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
37 CHANEY Charles 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
38 WU Shaochi 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
39 MOORE Alexander 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
40 NOLAN Tyler 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
41 CUELLAR Markus 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
41 RAMEY Daylon 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
43 LORENZ Nathan 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
44 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
45 ZHOU alex 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
46 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
46 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
48 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 84% 48% 13% 1%
49 MARSH Alex 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
50 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
51 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
52 LIN Haley 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
53 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
54 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
55 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
56 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
57 NGUYEN Trung 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
58 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
59 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
60 ALLEN Davis 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
61 SCHULMAN Max 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
63 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
64 DESVARIEUX Hensley 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
65 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
66 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
67 MCCABE Kian 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
69 HVIDING Ketil 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
70 DAVIS Jack 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
71 LACHER Daniel 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
72 GREINER Andreas 100% 98% 79% 43% 15% 3% -
73 ROEDER John 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
74 STEVENS Daniel L. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
75 SIMS Martin L. 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
76 MASSIE Jay 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
77 TAYLOR Robert 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
78 TARDIFF Seth 100% 53% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.