Collegiate Cup RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HIGGINS Branford - - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 FU Leon - - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 WANG Joey - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 WONG Baron - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
5 ZHENG Haoran - - - - 1% 16% 82%
6 KIM Sullivan - - - 2% 24% 74%
7 HSU Joshua 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
8 LI Yunji (Rain) - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
9 HINTON Evan - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
10 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
11 WU Johnny y. - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
12 SINHA Zaan - 3% 18% 43% 33% 4%
13 LEE Royce - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 BROWN Korbyn 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
15 RICHARDS Jackson D. - - 4% 23% 50% 23%
16 MENG Haoyi 19% 45% 29% 7% - -
17 CHOI Kaiden I. - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
18 LEE Jake (JiYuen) - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
19 LIU Yueri - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
20 POSSON Luke - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 1%
21 GUIRAUDET Alistair 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% -
22 SHIRLEY Kai - 3% 21% 44% 29% 3%
23 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 1% 10% 32% 42% 16%
24 SUROV Alexander 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
25 PARKE Nathaniel 5% 23% 39% 27% 6% -
26 SCHERZAY Ian 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
27 CHEN Bailey - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
28 RONG Gordon - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14% 1%
29 CHARETTE Matt 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
30 GOROZA Eric - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
31 WONG Preston - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
32 VOO Lucas 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
33 GADHVI Darius 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
34 ADDLEMAN Joshua 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
35 SARMIENTO Luke 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
36 COLLINS Kaden 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
37 RONG Marcus 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
38 LIANG Donny 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
39 MAXU Tiger 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% -
40 DENG Henry 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
41 DENG Destin 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
42 KLINKNER Richard 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
43 O’CONNOR Eve 4% 25% 43% 23% 4% -
44 MOLLINIER Angel 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
45 NORTON Henry 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
46 MIAO Quentin - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
47 KIM Alexander 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
48 CHARETTE Alex 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
49 SAMIMI Sina 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
50 WANG Dylan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
52 RAHMAN Ali 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
53 KIM Remington 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
54 PORIKLI Sedat 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
55 FEI Victor 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
56 PALMARES Xavier 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
57 OLIVAS Joseph 37% 45% 16% 2% - -
58 KOU Mason 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
59 BUI Joseph 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
60 YAO Tristan 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
61 MA Ciel 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
62 LI Sean 49% 39% 10% 1% - -
63 MCCULLOUGH Kevin 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
64 GAYLORD Ronan 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
65 DOSHAY Noah 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.