May SJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Reno-Sparks Convention Center - Reno, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RASMUSSEN Sage - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
2 NGUYEN Martin - - 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
3 LIU Derek - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
5 TAN Aidan - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
6 LING Eddie - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
7 FUKUDA Diego - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
8 TANG Alexander L. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
9 WANG Aaron - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
10 LO Preston - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
11 CHOI JIAN - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
12 LI Richard - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
13 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
14 MAZAHERI Fletcher - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
15 CHENG Logan 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
16 ZHOU Shawn - 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
17 YUAN Zhihe 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
18 DERRICK Blake - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
19 MORROW Brenden - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
20 PARK Rion - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
21 LEE Brendan - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
22 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
23 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
24 MCKEE Calvin 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
25 YI William W. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
26 HART-SYED declan 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
27 CHENG Ethan - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
28 LU Kevin 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
29 YAO Bradley - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
30 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
31 ROZALSKI Eli - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 7%
32 ZHANG Jacob - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
33 QIAN Jason H. - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
34 WU Alber Y. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
35 CHEN Matthew - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
36 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - 2% 9% 29% 41% 20%
37 CHOI Ethan - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 12%
38 SIMONOV Timofey - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
39 CHANG Jonathan - 3% 20% 43% 28% 5%
40 HAYES Stewart 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
41 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
42 CHEN Hanson - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
43 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 2% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
44 WONG Evan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
45 CHEN Ethan - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
45 NEICE William - 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
47 NICOLETTI Luca - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
48 GUTH Joseph - - 5% 28% 46% 20%
49 LIU Ethan - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
50 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
51 SHENG Dalton - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
52 BAE Eugene - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
53 LI Edison M. - 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
54 ONG Nicholas - 5% 20% 37% 28% 8% 1%
55 RAUTUREAU Arthur - 4% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
56 MARTIN Darius - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
57 ZHAO Nathan 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
58 GORDON William L. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
59 ZHOU Chenqiao - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
60 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 2% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
61 WEI Winston 11% 43% 36% 10% 1% -
62 SISINNI Leonardo 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
63 CZARNECKI Thomas 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
64 FANG Haoyu 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
65 WANDJI Noah - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
66 CHO Xzander 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
67 XU Andy P. - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
68 TEH Tang-Ngu 14% 40% 33% 12% 2% -
69 PARK Andrew 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
70 MAO Lucas - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
71 ZHENG Marcus - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
72 BIELER Mason 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
73 JIN Andy 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
74 HOWLAND Jonas - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
75 KARPMAN Benny 56% 36% 7% - - -
76 YUE Jackson 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
77 ZHONG Maxwell - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
78 YANG Charles 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
79 MARISI Gabriel 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
79 CHUANG Oscar - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
81 YEVDAYEV Tamir 10% 37% 36% 14% 3% - -
82 GRIGORIEV Michael 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
82 HICKEY Connor 2% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
84 HUA Aaron 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
85 TOOMRE Kai 32% 46% 19% 3% - -
86 CHA James 4% 27% 45% 21% 3% -
87 CHOI Ethan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
88 TSOI Spencer 27% 47% 21% 4% - -
89 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
90 BAI Austin 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
91 SU Preston 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
92 PAN Ethan 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
93 PARK William 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
94 CHANG Eric Jonathan 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
95 FOY Grant 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
96 BHANOT Arjun 35% 49% 14% 2% - - -
97 SLAIN Owen 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
98 SU Desmond 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
99 YANG Steve 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
100 ZHOU Ryan 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
101 LO Ernest 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
102 LUK Trusten 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
102 ZHAN Kevin 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
104 XU Ryan 39% 48% 12% 1% - - -
105 WU Gengze (Daniel) 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
106 CHIANG Aiden 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
107 SCHAMP Eliot 100% - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.