BCAF Spring Ironman "Not For Wimps" Epee Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 ZHAO kuncheng - - - - 1% 3% 11% 23% 31% 24% 8%
2 HEARNE Gavin - - - - - - 2% 10% 27% 38% 22%
3 MCGRATH Sean L. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 28% 22% 10% 2%
3 ANAFI Ari - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% -
5 NG Nico - 5% 17% 28% 26% 15% 6% 1% - - -
6 RVACHEV Michael - 1% 3% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% 1% -
7 BLAKESLEE Garrett H. - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% -
8 TSIEN Richard 4% 16% 28% 27% 16% 6% 2% - - - -
9 DURKIN Hudson - - 2% 8% 18% 28% 25% 14% 4% 1% -
10 LI Morgan - - 2% 6% 16% 26% 26% 17% 6% 1% -
11 WONG Maximus - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% -
12 MILINKOVIC Maksim - 1% 3% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% 1% -
13 MCGOVERN Vincent J. - - - - 2% 8% 19% 29% 26% 13% 3%
14 ANDERSON Riley - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 3% -
15 LAWLOR Lee - - 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
16 UPSHAW Micah - - - - 1% 6% 16% 28% 29% 16% 3%
17 LENNON Nicholas - 3% 11% 23% 28% 21% 10% 3% 1% - -
18 TKACH Robert W. - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 28% 21% 9% 2% -
19 FLINT James E. - 1% 7% 17% 26% 25% 16% 6% 2% - -
20 MARRAN John 5% 19% 31% 26% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
21 MOULDING Hugh 4% 17% 29% 27% 16% 6% 1% - - - -
22 LEE Kevin 9% 27% 33% 21% 8% 2% - - - - -
23 REYES Camila 6% 22% 31% 25% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
24 KAPLAN Maddox 7% 22% 31% 24% 12% 4% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.