BCAF Spring Ironman "Not For Wimps" Epee Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 ZHAO kuncheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 63% 32% 8%
2 HEARNE Gavin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 22%
3 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 61% 34% 12% 2%
3 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 40% 17% 4% -
5 NG Nico 100% 100% 95% 77% 49% 22% 7% 1% - - -
6 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 37% 15% 4% 1% -
7 BLAKESLEE Garrett H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 39% 16% 4% -
8 TSIEN Richard 100% 96% 80% 52% 25% 8% 2% - - - -
9 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 44% 19% 5% 1% -
10 LI Morgan 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 50% 24% 8% 1% -
11 WONG Maximus 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 34% 13% 3% -
12 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 63% 36% 15% 4% 1% -
13 MCGOVERN Vincent J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 41% 15% 3%
14 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 40% 16% 4% -
15 LAWLOR Lee 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 68% 42% 19% 6% 1% -
16 UPSHAW Micah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 49% 19% 3%
17 LENNON Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 86% 63% 35% 14% 4% 1% - -
18 TKACH Robert W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 32% 11% 2% -
19 FLINT James E. 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 49% 24% 8% 2% - -
20 MARRAN John 100% 95% 76% 45% 19% 5% 1% - - - -
21 MOULDING Hugh 100% 96% 79% 50% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
22 LEE Kevin 100% 91% 64% 31% 10% 2% - - - - -
23 REYES Camila 100% 94% 72% 41% 16% 4% 1% - - - -
24 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 93% 71% 40% 16% 5% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.