AFM Open Senior Mixed Epee Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 25, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCENAY Jean Michel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
2 YAMASAKI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46%
3 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
5 KHAYAT Ziad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 25%
6 ALVAREZ Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
7 WU Steven 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
8 CHEW Aedan 100% 95% 69% 27% 3% -
9 HEDGES Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69% 11%
11 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% -
12 COHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
13 TANG Mingyuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
14 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
15 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
16 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
17 GALLAGHER PELLETIER Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 48%
17 LI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
19 HEPLER Sarah 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% < 1%
20 YU Austin 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
21 ELLOWAY William 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
22 MCLAREN Mason 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
23 LAI Amanda 100% 89% 56% 21% 3% -
24 NICHOLSON Dimitri 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 25%
25 CHANG Andrew 100% 97% 77% 37% 8%
26 KOFMAN David 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
27 ELZAYN Hadi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
28 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
29 WONG Preston 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
30 ONG Jee Ken 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
31 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 96% 75% 34% 5% -
32 GACIOCH Noah 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
33 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 1%
34 WYATT Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
35 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 83% 43% 11% 1%
36 ROCK Matt 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
37 WANG Devin 100% 100% 96% 71% 25% 1% -
38 FUNG Shaun 100% 95% 54% 9% < 1% - -
39 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
40 SIM Ian 100% 99% 89% 55% 14% 1%
41 MENG QINGTAO 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
42 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
43 XU Jessica 100% 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
44 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 2%
45 QIAO James 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% - -
45 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
47 XU Celina 100% 99% 82% 21% 2% - -
48 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
49 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
50 GANESH Maxen 100% 80% 38% 9% 1%
51 KIM Ian 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 4% -
52 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
53 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
54 YOUNG Quentin 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
55 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
56 LOUIE Joseph 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
57 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 21%
57 LIN Isabel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
59 XIE HanZhang 100% 96% 69% 28% 4% -
60 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
61 SIRBU Dan 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% -
61 HAMILTON Travis 100% 95% 69% 26% 4% - -
63 LIU Max 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
64 FICKLIN Ryan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
65 WHEELER Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 12%
66 JARIN-LIPSCHITZ Laura 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
67 GUO Woody 100% 97% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
68 SIU Phoeland 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
69 DILEEP Roshan 100% 99% 88% 32% 4% - -
70 SU Samuel 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
71 CHANG Heidi 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
72 POPOVICI Alina 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5% -
73 HEDGES Lucas 100% 80% 38% 9% 1%
74 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
75 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
76 LI Sean 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
77 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% - -
78 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
79 ZHANG Luqi 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% - -
80 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
81 ZHONG Louie 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
82 BECK Brian 100% 100% 99% 86% 43% 3% -
82 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% - -
84 OR Anson 100% 88% 12% - - - -
85 TEJADA-ANDERSON Emmanuel 100% 57% 8% - - - -
86 LI Grayson 100% 78% 35% 7% - -
87 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% -
88 LIU Yichen 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
89 SMITH Marissa 100% 39% 5% - - - -
89 CLARKE Elliot 100% 93% 45% 7% - - -
91 CHIEM Karen 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
91 NAZARENKO Olena 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.