IFC 2025 Summer Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Noblesville, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GERACI Paul A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 14%
3 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
3 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
5 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
6 MAI Carl D. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
7 BUTTA Reese 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
8 MILLER Hayden 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
9 STOCK Olivia 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
10 WINGET William (Bill) D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
11 MACNEIL Matthew 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
12 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
13 PLUMMER Ken 100% 94% 29% 4% - -
14 MILLER Brent 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
15 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 94% 62% 22% 3%
16 MACNEIL Sydney 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
17 MYERS Lewis 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
18 DAVIS Daniel L. 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
19 MCNARY Ross 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% -
20 FAENOVA Alexandra 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
21 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
22 AGRAWAL Krishna 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
23 BUTTA Robert 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
24 HARKNESS Luke 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
25 DUTTON Kimberly 100% 18% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.