San Diego Senior Cup Championship

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM

San Diego Jewish Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 SMITH Dylan H. - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
3 SMITH Justin C. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 DILLON Anik - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
5 ROMANO Ren - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
6 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 1% 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
7 ADDLEMAN Joshua 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
8 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. - - 5% 29% 47% 19%
9 WILKENS Zach Q. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
10 FIECHTNER Thomas A. - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
11 ZAROTSKY Ronald - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
12 ALLEN David - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
13 THOMAS Michael - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
14 KOUTSOUKOS James 2% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
15 CLAWSON Brian C. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
16 OLIVAS Joseph 30% 57% 12% 1% - -
17 CHAO Warren - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
18 CLARK Ethan J. - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
19 LABOVITCH David 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
20 KURITZ Marc M. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
21 THISTLETHWAITE Doug W. - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 2%
22 BAILEY Creston P. - 3% 31% 44% 20% 3%
23 HAU Pak-Kei - 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 3%
24 LUNDE Drew 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
25 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
26 LIANG Donny 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
27 DU Yiwei 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
28 KNIGHT Alex 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
29 DE LAUNEY Merric 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
30 LIANG Dong 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
31 ROBSON Sam 2% 15% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
32 CHIEN William 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
33 DAVIDOVICH Eli 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
34 HEWITT Frank F. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
35 HORN Evans 49% 42% 8% - - -
36 FERRIERE Thomas - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
37 NUGENT Curtis 40% 46% 13% 1% - - -
38 BONTHA Dhruv 26% 48% 22% 4% - - -
39 PICKETT Alexander 73% 24% 3% - - - -
40 XUE Chenming 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
41 WANG Lawrence 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.