San Diego Senior Cup Championship

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM

San Diego Jewish Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 SMITH Dylan H. 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
3 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 DILLON Anik 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
5 ROMANO Ren 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 1%
6 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
7 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
8 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 19%
9 WILKENS Zach Q. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
10 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
11 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
12 ALLEN David 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
13 THOMAS Michael 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
14 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
15 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
16 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 70% 13% 1% - -
17 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
18 CLARK Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
19 LABOVITCH David 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
20 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 3%
21 THISTLETHWAITE Doug W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
22 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 97% 66% 22% 3%
23 HAU Pak-Kei 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
24 LUNDE Drew 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
25 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
26 LIANG Donny 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
27 DU Yiwei 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
28 KNIGHT Alex 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
29 DE LAUNEY Merric 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
30 LIANG Dong 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
31 ROBSON Sam 100% 98% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
32 CHIEN William 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9% 1%
33 DAVIDOVICH Eli 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
34 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
35 HORN Evans 100% 51% 9% - - -
36 FERRIERE Thomas 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
37 NUGENT Curtis 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
38 BONTHA Dhruv 100% 74% 25% 4% - - -
39 PICKETT Alexander 100% 27% 3% - - - -
40 XUE Chenming 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
41 WANG Lawrence 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.