NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
2 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
3 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 31%
5 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55% 13%
7 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 11%
8 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 30%
9 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
10 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
11 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
12 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31% 2%
13 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
14 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
15 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 2%
16 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 16% 1%
17 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
18 BOUCHER Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
19 GOODRICH Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
19 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
21 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 42%
22 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
23 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
24 HE Yurui 100% 100% 97% 74% 30% 4% -
25 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
26 JONES Tristan Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
27 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
28 ZENG Andrew 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
29 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
30 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 1%
31 SONG Changze 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 2%
32 LEE Cayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 18% 2%
33 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
34 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
35 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
36 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
37 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
38 KENYON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
39 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
40 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 13%
41 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 53%
42 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
43 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
44 WONG Maximus 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
45 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 11%
46 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
46 MARTINEAU ELIE 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 10%
48 MALENFANT Vincent 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
49 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
50 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67% 21%
51 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 8%
52 LINSCOTT John J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 9%
53 TORRES Gianni 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
54 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
55 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
56 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 7%
57 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
58 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
59 JACOVINO Jonathan S. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
60 WANG Zichun 100% 100% 99% 83% 38% 5%
61 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 98% 82% 36% 6%
62 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
63 ZHANG William 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
64 CHAN Tyler 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
65 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
66 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
67 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
68 RAMIREZ CARDONA Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
69 WHITE Aidan 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
70 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
71 KABA Elias 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
72 SETO Jing 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
73 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
74 LARAGY Collin 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
75 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
76 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
77 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
78 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 6% -
79 SANTOS Felipe 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
80 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
81 DOWD Peter L. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
81 EMDEN André 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 6%
83 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21% 1%
83 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 96% 68% 24% 3% - -
85 BYRON Max 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
86 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 92% 62% 22% 2% - -
87 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
88 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
89 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
90 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 99% 81% 29% 4% -
91 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
92 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 72% 24% 4% - -
93 WILSON Ian G. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
94 BRESLAV Asher 100% 42% 6% - - -
95 FENG Du 100% 100% 91% 51% 3% -
96 SENERTH Ian J. 100% 98% 74% 24% 3% -
97 KELLEY Hayden 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
98 KIM Nathan 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
99 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
100 DU Yifan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
101 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 97% 78% 36% 5% - -
102 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 84% 41% 9% 1% -
102 MANITT Philip 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
104 MACKENZIE Delaney 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
105 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
105 MORI Seneca 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% - -
107 ZHANG Roland 100% 99% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
107 GREEN Logan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
107 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
110 SMALL Brayden 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
111 BAZZANA Beniamino 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
112 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4% -
113 SHAPIRO Natan 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
114 PAYNE Massimo 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
115 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 92% 63% 23% 4% -
116 WANG Xiangdong 100% 96% 70% 24% 2% -
117 LI Ray 100% 67% 23% 3% - -
117 WANG Zhenhai 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
119 HANNA Alexander 100% 29% 3% - - -
119 MEN Junda 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
121 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 86% 39% 6% - -
122 PEARSALL Riley C. 100% 99% 86% 46% 6% -
123 REELS Eric J. 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
123 GREGORY Nova 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 3%
125 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 97% 69% 20% 1% -
126 LAW Oliver 100% 21% 2% - - -
127 HOWARD Jackson 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
128 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
129 JESSER Daxton 100% 37% 5% - - - -
130 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 99% 90% 55% 14% 1% -
131 MARSHALL William L. 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
132 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
133 STEIN Philip 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
134 SONG Ryan 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% - -
135 LIN Lucas 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
136 LIN Yufei 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
136 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
138 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
139 BERLET Bobby F. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
139 GU Eric 100% 75% 27% 5% - - -
139 NGUYEN Trung 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
142 WENGER Caleb 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
143 KAIN Brad 100% 92% 52% 14% 1% - -
144 LIU Kun 100% 96% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
145 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
146 CULLER Michael (Mike) D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
147 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
148 BARRETT Jon 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
149 PIERINI Noah 100% 96% 56% 14% 1% -
150 OSHIMA Robert 100% 65% 18% 2% - -
150 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
150 LIBERT Zachariah 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
153 CONNER James 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
154 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 100% 89% 39% 6% - -
155 MURRAY John P. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
156 MASSE Dean 100% 87% 34% 5% - - -
157 BENNETT Paul 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
158 LOWE Connor 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.