National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, July 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLARK Benjamin - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
2 NEICE William - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
3 KETTELLE John - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 LIM Charlie - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
5 FINNEY Lorenz - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
6 CHA James - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
7 ZHENG Marcus - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
8 O'BRIEN Jack K. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
9 LIU William - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
10 GORDON William L. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
11 DEEB Adam - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
12 SMITH Grant D. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
13 BAE Eugene - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
14 YU William - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
15 JIMENEZ Naveen - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
16 GONZALEZ Oliver - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
17 BLACK Zachary - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
18 KIM Jonah - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
19 CHEN Ethan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
20 XIE Jicheng - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
21 ARATA Connor - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 6%
22 SINHA Verdhaan - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
23 MCKEE Calvin - 1% 12% 36% 40% 11%
24 WEISS Mateo 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
25 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
26 EDISON Ansel - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
27 SUN Henry - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
28 ONG Nicholas - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
29 ZHAO Ryan 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
30 MOE Annan - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
31 GRUNENWALD Henri 1% 9% 34% 39% 16% 2%
32 FOY Grant 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
33 LU Alex - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 12%
34 BAI Brian - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
35 WONG Jacob W. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
36 BOESKIN Nolan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
37 DAVIDSON Elliot - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
38 LU Nathan - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
39 AGARWAL Savya 5% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% < 1%
40 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
41 JACOB Ezra 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
42 MCKINLEY Luke - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
43 LYNCH Owen C. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
44 GRIEB Oliver 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
45 CHOI Ethan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
46 HAN Alexander 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
47 PETERSON Lucas - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
48 YANG Dylan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
49 YUAN Zhihe - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
50 JIN Andy - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
51 WAYBRIGHT Matteo - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
52 HUA Aaron - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
53 ALBERS Asher 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
54 GLOVER George - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
55 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
56 CHUNG Yeongbin - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
57 PECK Quinn 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
58 METZ Mason - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
59 SHIN Noah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
60 REYES Yannik 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
61 FEDELI Francesco - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
62 CHEZ Nolan - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
63 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
64 SURESH Rohan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
65 MARTIN Mason - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
66 KAPOOR Aayan - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
67 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - 2% 15% 41% 34% 8%
68 NOWAK Joseph A. - - - 4% 22% 48% 26%
69 KIM Teo - 4% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
70 STRAYER Andrew - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
71 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
72 WILKINS Mateo - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
73 CHO Xzander - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
74 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
74 HARROCH Faustin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
76 ASHIDA Tomoaki - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
77 EMENHEISER Conrad - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
77 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
79 LIU Yinhong - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
80 TSAY Jordan R. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
80 MILLER Dillon - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
82 ZHAO Brian - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
83 XU Dinghui Ryan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
84 ZHEN Ethan - - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
85 ZAIDI Adil - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
86 BAI Austin - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
87 UZGIRIS Kovas - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
88 HARRIS Julien - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 1%
89 LI Daniel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
90 O'LEARY Colin 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
91 SMOLICH Marat - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
92 CHENG Mason 2% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
93 GNEUHS Sam - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
94 NICOLL William - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
95 YUE Jackson - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
96 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
97 STAFFORD Gareth 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
98 ABRAMKIN Tim - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
99 MARTIRE Luca 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
100 ZHAN Kevin 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
101 EDWARDS Connor - 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
102 SUAREZ David - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
103 MCMILLIAN Harrison 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
104 JOHNSON Chance - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
105 COPELAND Nigel - 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 2%
106 LUI Justin 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
107 ZAPPALA Nikolai 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
108 VAN Tyson - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
109 XU Nathan - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3%
110 FIECHTNER Thomas A. - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
111 TEH Tang-Ngu - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
112 LUK Trusten 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
113 NISHIHIRA Tyler 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
113 DIAZ Gabriel 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
115 PINCHENG Yao - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
116 LANGEN Carter M. - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
117 LEE Thomas 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
118 TAM Kyle - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
119 ARANA Massimo 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
120 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 2% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
121 BAKSHI Aman 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
122 MASSIMINO Andrew - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
123 ZHANG Jayden 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
124 LING Carson Jr - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
125 STRINGER David - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
126 GLICKSBERG Alexander 3% 37% 40% 17% 3% - -
127 KUO Phineas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
128 TOMASI John 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
129 COSSROW Alex 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
130 PE Noah - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
131 LEE Ian - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
132 ZHANG GAVIN J 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
133 WEI JR Shan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
134 SHANNON Jack - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
135 TOYOFUKU Ethan 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
136 LEHTINEN Axel 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
137 SPINA Joseph B. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
138 ZHANG Hanru 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
139 BARRETT Austin - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
140 RIPA Joseph K. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
141 ZHAO Brandon 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
142 WHEELOCK Bryan M. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
143 WEST Nathaniel 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
144 PETROV Mikhail 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
145 KENNEDY christo - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
146 LEONG Wilson Hua 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
147 ATKINSON JOSIAH - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
148 PARK Jayden 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
149 GECKELER James 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
149 DAI Christopher 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
151 POWELL Sean 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
152 KOE Beckett - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
153 WEI Winston 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
154 BLAKEMAN Michael J. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
155 LAO Kevin 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
156 NAIDL Josiah - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
157 MARTIN William - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
158 GREENLEAF Paul 1% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
159 FINLEY Dylan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
160 SOLOPOULOS James 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
160 FANG Haoyu - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
162 HOLLIS Sean - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
163 FRASER Rhys 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
164 SMITH Erick - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
165 HONG Derek 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
166 SFINTESCU Alex 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
166 COOK Grant 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
168 PEREZ Logan 2% 29% 42% 21% 5% - -
169 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
170 DAVIS Benjamin 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
171 LEE Mason 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
172 PINKERTON Joseph H. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
173 HENKELMAN Grayson 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
174 CHEN Owen 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
175 KAYE Ben 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
176 SUNDSTROM Wren 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
177 ZINSER Jamie 6% 32% 43% 17% 3% -
178 HASTINGS Alex 10% 40% 37% 12% 1% -
179 DURHAM Porter - 8% 33% 40% 17% 2%
180 HARKINS Asher 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
181 GOWDA Sumeru 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
182 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
183 PRUT Anton - 5% 19% 34% 30% 12% 1%
184 WILEY Conor 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
185 BECKER Ethan 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
186 DUNLAP Ezra 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
187 DANIEL Nikith 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
187 HARWOOD Gray 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
189 DIEPSTRA Jeremy - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
190 MARISI Gabriel - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
190 TOOMRE Kai 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
192 NAZARIO Dominic 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
193 BERSCHEID Arthur 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
194 WENGER Liam 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
195 ARCARA Evan 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
196 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
197 FECAROTTA Ryan 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
198 SANTIAGO Elias 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
199 LU Chang 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
200 HERRERA Xavier 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
200 RUBY Asher 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
202 UPENDER West 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
203 WOHLERS Trevor 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 2% -
203 YANG David H. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
205 KROLEWSKI Alexander 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
205 MANIKTALA Suvir 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
205 MARTIN Wesley 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
208 MCCONKEY Tristan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
209 LAM Kirin 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
210 RAJPAL Alastair - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
210 ZHANG Hanson 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
210 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
210 DIFRANK Tae 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
214 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
215 AMRANI David 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2%
215 DA SILVA Jamie 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
215 POLLIO Benjamin 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
218 SUN Evan 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
219 FINDLER Zachary 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
220 HOLCOMB Alexander 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
221 BELOKON Sammy 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
222 TRUJILLO Jonah 12% 47% 32% 8% 1% -
223 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
224 SORRENTINO Salvatore - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
225 HREHOCIK Matthew 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
226 VERDEJO-BUISSON Nicolas 62% 33% 5% - - -
227 LEE Charles T - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
228 WEINSTEIN Ethan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
229 LIN Lucas 10% 40% 34% 13% 2% - -
230 SRINIVASAN Vedant - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
231 SMITH Finnley 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
232 MCCARVILL Cooper 17% 40% 30% 11% 2% - -
233 SERBAN Joseph T. 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
233 ZHANG Andrew 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
235 MENASCO Juliun 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
235 RUDOW Asher 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
237 FERRONE Nate 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
238 IRVINE Brody - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
238 SENANI Arjun - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
240 KOVACS Harrison 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
241 GODIN Willis 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
242 BLACK Henry 31% 46% 20% 4% - - -
243 DIEP Daniel 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
244 ZMUDA Aiden 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
244 FLYNT Hayden 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
244 LEE Aeden 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
247 SHEA William 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
247 THAN Duc 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
249 RODRIGUEZ Alex 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
249 KARLEKAR Ved 26% 46% 23% 5% - - -
251 KABARITI Karim 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
252 TIBBETTS Justin 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
253 BARBANEL Joseph 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
254 PETINO Leonardo 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
255 NUCKLES Caden 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
256 CHIANG Aiden 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
256 XU Rambert 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
258 CAO Kellen 1% 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
259 DULAI Agam 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
260 WOODALL Ian L. < 1% 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
261 ZHANG Julian 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
262 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
263 MAVANI Krishna < 1% 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
264 LITTLE Alex 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
265 DECKER Evan M. 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
266 DULAI Angad 45% 39% 14% 3% - - -
266 BACON Maxwell 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
268 TSIMBERG Jadon 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
269 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
269 LINEBERRY CADEN 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
271 LUKASIK Michael 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
272 WEBSTER Liam 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
272 SHULER Alden 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
274 COWARD Daniel 82% 17% 1% - - - -
274 HU Alex 88% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.