National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, July 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLARK Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
2 NEICE William 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
3 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
3 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
5 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 CHA James 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
7 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
8 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
9 LIU William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
10 GORDON William L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
11 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
12 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
13 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
14 YU William 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
15 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
16 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 100% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
17 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
18 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
19 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
20 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
21 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
22 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
23 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 11%
24 WEISS Mateo 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
25 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
26 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
27 SUN Henry 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
28 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
29 ZHAO Ryan 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
30 MOE Annan 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
31 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
32 FOY Grant 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
33 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
34 BAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
35 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
36 BOESKIN Nolan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
37 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
38 LU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
39 AGARWAL Savya 100% 95% 65% 28% 7% 1% < 1%
40 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
41 JACOB Ezra 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
42 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
43 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
44 GRIEB Oliver 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
45 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
46 HAN Alexander 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
47 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
48 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
49 YUAN Zhihe 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
50 JIN Andy 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
51 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
52 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
53 ALBERS Asher 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
54 GLOVER George 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
55 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
56 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
57 PECK Quinn 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
58 METZ Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
59 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
60 REYES Yannik 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
61 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
62 CHEZ Nolan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
63 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
64 SURESH Rohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
65 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
66 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
67 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
68 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
69 KIM Teo 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
70 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
71 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
72 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
73 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
74 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
74 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
76 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
77 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
77 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% 1%
79 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
80 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 24% 4%
80 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
82 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
83 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
84 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
85 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
86 BAI Austin 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
87 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
88 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
89 LI Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
90 O'LEARY Colin 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
91 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
92 CHENG Mason 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1% -
93 GNEUHS Sam 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
94 NICOLL William 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
95 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
96 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
97 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
98 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 5%
99 MARTIRE Luca 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
100 ZHAN Kevin 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
101 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
102 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 96% 83% 56% 24% 5%
103 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
104 JOHNSON Chance 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
105 COPELAND Nigel 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2%
106 LUI Justin 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
107 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
108 VAN Tyson 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
109 XU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
110 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
111 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
112 LUK Trusten 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
113 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
113 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 6% -
115 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
116 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16%
117 LEE Thomas 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
118 TAM Kyle 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
119 ARANA Massimo 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
120 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
121 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
122 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 2%
123 ZHANG Jayden 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
124 LING Carson Jr 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
125 STRINGER David 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
126 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 97% 61% 21% 4% - -
127 KUO Phineas 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
128 TOMASI John 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
129 COSSROW Alex 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
130 PE Noah 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
131 LEE Ian 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
132 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
133 WEI JR Shan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
134 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
135 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
136 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 94% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
137 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
138 ZHANG Hanru 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
139 BARRETT Austin 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
140 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
141 ZHAO Brandon 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
142 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
143 WEST Nathaniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
144 PETROV Mikhail 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
145 KENNEDY christo 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
146 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
147 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
148 PARK Jayden 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
149 GECKELER James 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
149 DAI Christopher 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
151 POWELL Sean 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
152 KOE Beckett 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
153 WEI Winston 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
154 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
155 LAO Kevin 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
156 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
157 MARTIN William 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
158 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
159 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
160 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
160 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
162 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 2%
163 FRASER Rhys 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
164 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
165 HONG Derek 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
166 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
166 COOK Grant 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
168 PEREZ Logan 100% 98% 69% 27% 5% - -
169 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
170 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
171 LEE Mason 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
172 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
173 HENKELMAN Grayson 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
174 CHEN Owen 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
175 KAYE Ben 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
176 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
177 ZINSER Jamie 100% 94% 62% 20% 3% -
178 HASTINGS Alex 100% 90% 50% 13% 1% -
179 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 92% 59% 19% 2%
180 HARKINS Asher 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% -
181 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
182 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 2%
183 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
184 WILEY Conor 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
185 BECKER Ethan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
186 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
187 DANIEL Nikith 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
187 HARWOOD Gray 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
189 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
190 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
190 TOOMRE Kai 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
192 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 7% 1%
193 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
194 WENGER Liam 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
195 ARCARA Evan 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
196 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
197 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
198 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
199 LU Chang 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
200 HERRERA Xavier 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
200 RUBY Asher 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
202 UPENDER West 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
203 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
203 YANG David H. 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
205 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
205 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
205 MARTIN Wesley 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
208 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
209 LAM Kirin 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
210 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
210 ZHANG Hanson 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
210 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
210 DIFRANK Tae 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
214 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
215 AMRANI David 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
215 DA SILVA Jamie 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
215 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
218 SUN Evan 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
219 FINDLER Zachary 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
220 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
221 BELOKON Sammy 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
222 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% -
223 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
224 SORRENTINO Salvatore 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
225 HREHOCIK Matthew 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
226 VERDEJO-BUISSON Nicolas 100% 38% 5% - - -
227 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
228 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
229 LIN Lucas 100% 90% 50% 16% 3% - -
230 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
231 SMITH Finnley 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
232 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
233 SERBAN Joseph T. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
233 ZHANG Andrew 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
235 MENASCO Juliun 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
235 RUDOW Asher 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
237 FERRONE Nate 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
238 IRVINE Brody 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
238 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
240 KOVACS Harrison 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
241 GODIN Willis 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
242 BLACK Henry 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
243 DIEP Daniel 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
244 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
244 FLYNT Hayden 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 1%
244 LEE Aeden 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
247 SHEA William 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 5% -
247 THAN Duc 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
249 RODRIGUEZ Alex 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
249 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
251 KABARITI Karim 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
252 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
253 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
254 PETINO Leonardo 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
255 NUCKLES Caden 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
256 CHIANG Aiden 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
256 XU Rambert 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
258 CAO Kellen 100% 99% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
259 DULAI Agam 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
260 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
261 ZHANG Julian 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
262 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
263 MAVANI Krishna 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
264 LITTLE Alex 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
265 DECKER Evan M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
266 DULAI Angad 100% 55% 17% 3% - - -
266 BACON Maxwell 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
268 TSIMBERG Jadon 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
269 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
269 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
271 LUKASIK Michael 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
272 WEBSTER Liam 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
272 SHULER Alden 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
274 COWARD Daniel 100% 18% 1% - - - -
274 HU Alex 100% 12% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.