National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lucas - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
2 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
3 PARK Ethan - - - 1% 11% 43% 44%
3 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 20%
5 SHIM Jaeyoo - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
6 ZHANG Aiden - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
7 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
8 YOU Asher - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
9 GEVA Reuben - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
10 LI Stephen - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
11 LI Vance - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
12 TIAN Dylan - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
13 YOO Lucas - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 5%
14 LIU Yihong - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
14 FANG Charlie - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
16 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
17 BOROVIKOV Alexander - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
18 TANG Jayce 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
19 CHU Clayton 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
20 FU Benjamin - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
21 CHA Aiden - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
22 WONG Kyle - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
23 LIU Maximilian - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
24 MAXWELL Taiga - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
25 DESAI Jairaj - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
26 NG Remy - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
27 YOU Emmanuel 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
28 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
29 DESAI Adithya - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
30 MILOWSKY Majai 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
31 CHO Lincoln 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
32 YIN Zizhan 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
33 YOON Ian - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
34 GUJJA Rishabh - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
35 ZHOU Luke - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
36 MAURAIS JP - - 1% 6% 25% 47% 21%
37 FEELY Samuel - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
38 SUK Kwon 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
39 MO Shawn 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
40 CHEN Benjamin - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
42 CHI Zachary 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
43 LIN Logan - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
44 ZHAO Ryan - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
45 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
46 SATHYAN Dhruv 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
47 ZHANG Jenson - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
48 HOLDEN Harrison - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
49 FAYEZ Adam - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
49 MODI Vihaan 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
51 BALLEZA Maximilian - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
52 LEE Taeryum - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
53 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
54 THOMSON Piers - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
55 KHALID Ilyas 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
56 OLELE Chibuikem - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
57 NGUYEN Norris - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
58 FENSKE Gavin - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
59 TENG Eric 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
60 YANG Mikey 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
61 QU ethan 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
62 MATUSOW Brandon - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
63 LAU Jesse 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
64 ALI Akash 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1%
65 XIONG Alec 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 2%
66 BUTLER Xavier - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
67 WANG Lucas - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
68 LI Jacob 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
69 LI Nolan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
70 JIANG Adam - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
71 REN Mark - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
72 SI Alexander 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
72 CHEN Regis - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
74 YAO Irvine 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
75 YIN Xiangheng 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
76 AHMAD Aydin 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
77 KIM Hayden 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% -
78 SZETO Jonathan 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
79 LIU FREDERICK 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
80 LEE Daniel 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
81 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
82 LI Sean - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
83 YAN Milan 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7% -
84 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
85 CHARNA Luca 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
86 PAGLIARINI James - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
87 ZHANG Jacob 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
88 WANG Franklin 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
89 LI NATHAN 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
90 CURTISS Cameron 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
91 WANG Ryder 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
92 ZHU Kingsley 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
93 MILLER Brodrick 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
94 LEUNG Joon 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
95 PINCHUK Spencer - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
96 PATEL Yash - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
97 PAGLIARINI John 6% 26% 37% 23% 8% 1% -
98 KAZA Avyaan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
99 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
100 KIM Christian 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
100 BEZRODNOV Artemi 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
102 SAFAI Bardia 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
103 MORET Declan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
104 AU Wesley 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
105 HAO hardy 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
105 TANG Jake 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
107 KETCHAM Conrad 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
108 KIM Benjamin 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
109 YANG Rony 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
110 LI Ethan 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
111 LI Nathan Zeting 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
112 LU Mark 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
113 ROULLARD Atticus 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
114 TRIVULCE Ethan 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
115 AKKARA Skyler 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
116 CHA Declan 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
117 MEEHAN Keith 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
118 HILFIGER Marcos 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
118 KURTOVIC Kaim 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
120 ANDERSON Bergen 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
121 SMITH Isaac - < 1% 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
122 WANG Asher 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
122 LAW Benjamin 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
124 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
125 XI Eric 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
125 YU MAXIMILIAN 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
127 ZIMMERMAN Luke 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
128 ZHOU Silvan 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
129 LU Jayden 20% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
130 KOU Logan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
131 SHIH Eli 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
132 LEE Zachariah 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
132 SADLER Leon 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
134 ALLAM Yousuf 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
135 DAI Greyson 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
135 BIAN Brandon 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
137 JUNG David 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
138 PECK Henrik 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
138 PATRICK Cullen 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
140 CHAN Evan 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
141 SOTO Lucas 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
142 FERNANDEZ Leo 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
143 BARNETT Edward 34% 40% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.