National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
2 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
3 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
3 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
5 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
6 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 13%
7 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
8 YOU Asher 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
9 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
10 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
11 LI Vance 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
12 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
13 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
14 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
14 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
16 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
17 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
18 TANG Jayce 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
19 CHU Clayton 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
20 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
21 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
22 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
23 LIU Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
24 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 8%
25 DESAI Jairaj 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
26 NG Remy 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
27 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
28 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
29 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6%
30 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
31 CHO Lincoln 100% 98% 86% 50% 16% 2%
32 YIN Zizhan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
33 YOON Ian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
34 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
35 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
36 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 21%
37 FEELY Samuel 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
38 SUK Kwon 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
39 MO Shawn 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
40 CHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
42 CHI Zachary 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
43 LIN Logan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
44 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
45 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
46 SATHYAN Dhruv 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
47 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
48 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
49 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
49 MODI Vihaan 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
51 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
52 LEE Taeryum 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
53 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
54 THOMSON Piers 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
55 KHALID Ilyas 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
56 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
57 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
58 FENSKE Gavin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
59 TENG Eric 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
60 YANG Mikey 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
61 QU ethan 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
62 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
63 LAU Jesse 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
64 ALI Akash 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
65 XIONG Alec 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
66 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
67 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
68 LI Jacob 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
69 LI Nolan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
70 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
71 REN Mark 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
72 SI Alexander 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
72 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
74 YAO Irvine 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
75 YIN Xiangheng 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
76 AHMAD Aydin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
77 KIM Hayden 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
78 SZETO Jonathan 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
79 LIU FREDERICK 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
80 LEE Daniel 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
81 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
82 LI Sean 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
83 YAN Milan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
84 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
85 CHARNA Luca 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
86 PAGLIARINI James 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
87 ZHANG Jacob 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
88 WANG Franklin 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
89 LI NATHAN 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
90 CURTISS Cameron 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
91 WANG Ryder 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
92 ZHU Kingsley 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
93 MILLER Brodrick 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
94 LEUNG Joon 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
95 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
96 PATEL Yash 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
97 PAGLIARINI John 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
98 KAZA Avyaan 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
99 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
100 KIM Christian 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
100 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
102 SAFAI Bardia 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
103 MORET Declan 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
104 AU Wesley 100% 79% 38% 10% 2% - -
105 HAO hardy 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
105 TANG Jake 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
107 KETCHAM Conrad 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
108 KIM Benjamin 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
109 YANG Rony 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
110 LI Ethan 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
111 LI Nathan Zeting 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
112 LU Mark 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
113 ROULLARD Atticus 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
114 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
115 AKKARA Skyler 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
116 CHA Declan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
117 MEEHAN Keith 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
118 HILFIGER Marcos 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
118 KURTOVIC Kaim 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
120 ANDERSON Bergen 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
121 SMITH Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
122 WANG Asher 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
122 LAW Benjamin 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
124 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
125 XI Eric 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
125 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
127 ZIMMERMAN Luke 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
128 ZHOU Silvan 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
129 LU Jayden 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
130 KOU Logan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
131 SHIH Eli 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
132 LEE Zachariah 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
132 SADLER Leon 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
134 ALLAM Yousuf 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
135 DAI Greyson 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
135 BIAN Brandon 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
137 JUNG David 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
138 PECK Henrik 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
138 PATRICK Cullen 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
140 CHAN Evan 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
141 SOTO Lucas 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
142 FERNANDEZ Leo 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
143 BARNETT Edward 100% 66% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.